WEBVTT

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An san cewa lambobi da ƙididdiga ba su dace da kowa ba.

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Mutane da yawa suna farin cikin barin tattarawa da nazarin
bayanai ga ƙwararru kuma su yarda da sakamakon da aka gabatar.

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Duk da haka, ba koyaushe wannan shine mafi kyawun mataki ba.

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Wannan haka yake, misali, game da adadin
mutanen da suka mutu da Ofishin Kididdiga na

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Tarayya ya wallafa a lokacin annobar coronavirus.

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Dukkanmu mun shaida yadda Ofishin ya sanar da babban ƙarin
yawan mutuwar mutane bayan barkewar rikicin a shekarar 2020.

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Da kafofin watsa labarai suka ƙara masa ƙarfi, ya kasance
a bayyane ga mafi yawan mutane: annoba na kashe mutane,

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kuma duk wanda yake son kare kansa dole ne ya yi rigakafi.

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Tsoro da aka haifar ya yi tasiri!

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Duk da haka, hakan ba zai kasance ba a shekarar 2021 da 2022.

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Babban kamfen ɗin ya cimma burinsa.

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Yawancin mutane sun yi rigakafi.

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A cewar bayanan hukuma, don haka babu wasu
karin rashin daidaito a cikin ƙididdigar mutuwar.

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Sai dai, kamar yadda kwararren masanin kimiyyar bayanai
na kasuwanci Marcel Barz ya nuna, wannan ƙarya ce a fili.

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"Abin da nake gani a cikin bayanan asali na mutuwar mutane
ya saba gaba ɗaya da abin da jama'a ke tunani," in ji Barz.

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Da cikakken kulawa da daki-daki, ya kwatanta
bayanan asali ya kuma kai ga ƙarshe masu ban mamaki.

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Ya gano cewa, akasin abin da jami'ai suka
fada, babu karuwar mutuwar mutane a shekarar 2020.

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Ba wai kawai mutane da yawa sosai suka mutu cikin shekaru
biyu da suka biyo baya ba, har ma da yawan mata da maza

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a tsakanin rukunin shekaru matsakaici da matasa sun mutu.

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A karon farko, tsarin mutuwar mutane ya kuma nuna wani
yanayi gaba ɗaya ba na al'ada ba dangane da lokutan shekara.

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Marcel Barz ya nuna kura-kurai masu ban mamaki da
hukumomi suka yi wajen sarrafa ƙididdiga na hukuma.

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Ta yaya, marubucin ya yi mamaki, sadarwar
jama'a ta bambanta haka daga bayanan asali?

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Kalli tarin gabatarwar bidiyo yanzu: Adadin mutuwa a cikin
bayanan asali. Game da wannan bidiyo... Bayanan hukuma daga

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Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya sun nuna a fili cewa an samu dubban
karin mutuwa a Jamus a shekarun 2021 da 2022. Abin ya fi muni, a

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karon farko, karuwar mutuwa da za a iya gani ta shafi matasa ma.

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Me ya sa ba mu ga, ji ko karanta komai game da wannan a kafofin
watsa labarai? Wace mummunar barazana ce ta addabi al'ummarmu?

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Menene rawar da Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya a Wiesbaden ke
takawa? A cikin wannan gabatarwa, zan nuna adadin mutanen da suka

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mutu na hukuma da kuma kuskuren ban mamaki da hukumominmu ke yi
yayin wallafa waɗannan adadi. Ba a ba mu 'yan

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ƙasa sahihin bayani game da yawan mutuwa ba.
(Marcel Barz (Jüterbog, 20 ga Nuwamba 2023))

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Sunana Marcel Barz, ina da shekaru 48. Na fito ne daga
yankin Berlin, ko da gaske daga ƙaramar garin Jüterbog.

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Ni ƙwararren masanin IT na kasuwanci ne,
wanda ke nufin ina aiki da bayanai da lambobi.

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Kuma saboda kullum ina yin abubuwa daidai-daidai
kuma ina sake duba komai, na sami lakabin mai

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ƙididdiga – wanda a gaskiya nake alfahari da shi.

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Don haka, batun shi ne: Mutuwa a cikin bayanai na asali.

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Da bayanai na asali, nake nufin bayanai da ba a canza ba.

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Don haka, ban kalli sanarwar manema labarai da aka kammala ko
hotuna ba, sai dai ina samun fakitocin bayanai da suka ƙunshi

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cikakkun bayanai gwargwadon iko, sannan in fara tattara
taƙaitaccen bayani da ƙirƙirar hotuna da kaina, da

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sauransu. Wannan shi ne abin da nake nufi da bayanai na asali.

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Kuma idan ana maganar mutuwa, tambayar ita ce:
mutane da yawa ne ko kaɗan suka mutu a Jamus?

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Don haka ba wai adadin mutane kawai ba ne,
har ila yau ana kimanta ko sun fi yadda aka

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saba ko kuma sun yi ƙasa da yadda aka saba.

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Babu komai fiye da haka – wannan shi ne tambayar.

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Abin da nake gani a cikin bayanan asali game da yawan
mutuwar mutane ya saba gaba ɗaya da abin da jama'a ke tunani.

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Kuma musamman, haka lamarin yake – dangane da mutuwar da
aka samu a shekarar 2020 – ra'ayin jama'a shi ne cewa

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mun samu karuwar mutuwar da ta jawo hankali saboda annoba.

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Ni kaina na yi imani cewa haka zai kasance a
shekarar 2020. Kuma halayen mutane sun nuna hakan – ni

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kaina na ji tsoron mutuwa, na ji tsoron ƙwayar cutar.

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Amma idan na duba bayanan asali, na ga akasin haka kwata-kwata.

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Ba wai kawai ban ga wata matsala a shekarar 2020 ba, har ma
na ga mafi ƙasƙancin adadin mutuwar tarihi a shekarar 2020.

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Kuma tambayar ita ce: ta yaya ake samun
irin wannan bambanci tsakanin abin da bayanai

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ke nuna da abin da jama'a ke tunani a kai?

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Wannan ikirarina ne.

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Amma zan yi bayani dalla-dalla game da su a gabatarwata.

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Ba wai haka kawai ya kasance a shekarar 2020 ba, har ma
a shekarar 2022, wadda yanzu zan ɗauka a matsayin

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misali na biyu, ta sake zama akasin abin da jama'a ke tunani.

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Duk da cewa ra'ayin jama'a shi ne cewa babu wani abin ban mamaki
a yawan mutuwar da aka samu, halayen mutane sun nuna haka: komawa

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ga al'ada, babu wanda ke magana game da yawan mutuwar da aka
samu, muna magana ne game da Ukraine, muna

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magana ne game da Isra'ila, batutuwa gaba ɗaya
sun bambanta, Corona ta zama tsohuwar magana.

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Amma yanzu idan na duba adadin mutanen da suka mutu, sai na ga
waɗannan abubuwan ban mamaki da mutane da yawa

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suka yi imanin sun gani a shekarar 2020, kuma
yanzu na gani a cikin adadin mutanen da suka mutu.

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Abin ban mamaki shi ne cewa ina kuma ganin
waɗannan rashin daidaito a cikin matasa.

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Ban taɓa samun irin waɗannan tsaruka a baya ba.

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Amma yanzu ina ganin karuwar mutuwar da
za a iya lura da ita a tsakanin matasa.

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Kuma hakan lallai abin ban mamaki ne.

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Kuma abin sha'awa ne idan muka kalli dalla-dalla
a kowane mako, abin da wannan jadawalin ke nuna.

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Yanzu ban jera "spaghetti" ɗin a saman juna ba, a ce, sai
dai na jera su ɗaya bayan ɗaya, daga 2011 zuwa 2023, a ce.

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Na duba har baya fiye, amma na
yanke shi a yanzu domin ka ga wani abu.

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Kuma wannan layin zigzag mai shuɗi yana wakiltar ƙimar mutuwa,
musamman ga rukunin shekaru 45 zuwa 50, wato rukunin shekaruna.

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Kuma muna ganin tsari mai daidaito sosai.

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Eh, yana fitowa a saman da ƙasa, a
ce, amma yana yin hali daidaito sosai.

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Eh, koyaushe iri ɗaya ne tsarin:

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A lokacin sanyi yana ɗan ƙara, a lokacin rani yana
ɗan raguwa, sannan a lokacin sanyi na gaba ya ƙara.

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Kuma idan muka tsawaita wannan zuwa
hagu, koyaushe zai haifar da wannan tsari.

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Kuma yanzu ya zo annobar da ta fi kowacce muni a tarihi.

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Kuma haka yake.

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Kuma da kallo na farko, ka ce: A zahiri dai kamar kullum ne.

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Layin baƙi, a ce, shi ne yanayin kakar.

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Kuma muna ci gaba a shekarar 2020
kamar yadda muka yi a shekarun baya.

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Muna ma da wani ƙima da ya fita ƙasa, wanda, a ce, tarihi ne.

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Amma ban ga wani tsari da za a iya lura da shi ba.

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Kuma yanzu shekaru 21 da 22 an ƙara su da hakan.

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Kuma wannan tsari ne da ba a taɓa ganinsa ba a
wannan rukunin shekaru a duk shekarun da suka gabata.

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Don haka za mu iya ganin a fili cewa layin
shuɗi yana nan sosai sama da layin baƙi, kusan bai

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ketare shi ba, kuma manyan yankuna suna bayyana.

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Kuma hakan kawai yana nufin cewa matasa da yawa sun mutu anan
saboda wani haɗari da ke waje, wanda yanzu ake buƙatar a bincika.

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Ba mu taɓa ganin irin wannan matakin
mutuwa a cikin wannan rukunin shekaru ba a da.

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Don haka, wata alamar gargaɗi ce mai bayyana sosai.

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Kuma abin mamaki ne cewa babu abin da ke
faruwa, domin wannan tsari bai wanzu ba a da. Kuma

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yana nuni ne kawai zuwa gefe guda ɗaya, wato sama.

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Kuma ina so in ɗauki wani rukunin shekaru.

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Mu duba mutanen da shekarunsu ke tsakanin 50 da 55.

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Kuma a zahiri muna ganin hoto ɗaya.

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Kullum irin waɗannan canje-canje a cikin ƙimar mutuwa.

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Kuma yanzu an ƙara annobar a cikin
haɗuwar abubuwa a shekarar 2020.

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Kuma a zahiri muna ganin ƙimar mutuwa da ta yi ƙasa
da matsakaici a cikin rukunin shekaru 50 zuwa 55.

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Eh, a wasu shekarun sun fi yawa sosai.

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Kuma yanzu zan nuna muku shekarun 2021 da 2022.

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Kuma muna ganin abu ɗaya kamar yadda
yake a cikin sauran rukunin shekaru:

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Tsari mai matuƙar bayyane wanda ya zarce matuƙa yanayin kakar.

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Wato, dubban mutane a cikin ƙananan rukunin
shekaru, waɗanda a cewar ƙididdiga bai kamata

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su fuskanci haɗari ba tukuna, sun mutu anan.

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Alamar gargaɗi ce mai bayyane
sosai, kuma ban ji komai game da shi ba.

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Kuma matsalar ita ce idan ka kalli dukkan al'umma
kawai, wannan alamar gargaɗi tana ɓoye ta sanadiyyar mutuwar

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tsofaffi, domin ƙimar mutuwa a can tana da yawa sosai.

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To ba za ka iya ganinsa kwata-kwata ba.

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Dole ne ka duba ƙididdigar mutu, ka duba su
a kowane mako, kuma ka duba su ga kowane

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rukuni na shekaru ko ƙananan rukunonin shekaru.

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Kuma ba za a iya watsi da wannan sigina ba.

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Kuma tun da Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya ke yin haka – yana duba
ƙididdigar mutuwar mako-mako, kamar yadda na nuna a

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cikin wallafar – abin mamaki ne a gare ni cewa ba a yada
wannan alamar gargaɗi ba kuma ana ɓoye ta daga jama'a.

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Yanzu na zo ga ƙarshe na:

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Ina ganin na iya nuna dalilin da ya sa ƙididdigar mutu
suka dace wajen kimanta mutu, domin suna da sauƙin fahimta

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ga kowa, don haka sun dace sosai don sadarwa ga jama'a.

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Saboda mun fahimci abin da kashi ke nufi: 2%,
5% – mun san su daga rayuwar yau da kullum.

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Kuma shi ya sa nake ganin ya kamata
mu duba ƙididdigar mutuwar mutane.

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Adadin mutuwa bayanai ne na gaskiya, wato hujjoji, a ce.

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Babu wani lissafi a bayansa, babu wani samfurin,
sai dai haka muka auna shi, haka muka lura da shi.

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Kuma ana samun ƙididdigar yawan
mutuwa daga Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya.

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Kuma kawai saboda ba a wallafa su ba, ba yana nufin ba sa nan.

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Don haka ya kamata mu nemi ƙididdigar yawan
mutuwar daga Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya.

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Kuma dalilin da ya sa jama'a suka samu kuskuren fahimta game da
yawan mutuwa a shekarar 2020 shi ne saboda Ofishin Kididdiga na

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Tarayya ya zaɓi amfani da ƙididdiga marasa daidai wajen sadarwa
ga jama'a, wato ƙimar mutuwa da ƙimar mutuwa fiye da kima.

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Eh, ina ganin na bayyana shi sosai: yawan mutuwar
mutane yana karkatar da hoto idan yawan jama'a ya canza, wato

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idan yawan jama'a ya ƙaru kuma idan jama'a suka tsufa.

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Kuma idan ana maganar yawan mutuwar da ta wuce kima, idan aka
ƙididdige su ta amfani da irin wannan hanyar

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matsakaici mai cike da shakku, to a cikin al'umma mai tsufa,
hakan ma yana haifar da ƙimomi da aka yi wa kumburi.

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Kuma idan muka isar da waɗannan lambobi biyu kaɗai,
kamar yadda Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya ke yi, to ba abin

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mamaki ba ne cewa irin wannan kuskuren ra'ayi ya samu.

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Eh, kuma wannan shi kaɗai abin kunya ne, cewa an
jefa ƙasa baki ɗaya cikin firgici ba tare da wata hujja

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ba, ba tare da wata tushe a cikin bayanan asali ba.

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Amma abin da muke fuskanta yanzu a shekarar 2022, wato ba mu ji
komai kwata-kwata game da wannan tsarin ban

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sha'awa a tsakanin matasa daga Ofishin
Kididdiga na Tarayya ba, ina ganin kusan laifi ne.

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Domin idan na ga waɗannan kuskuren, to
Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya ma yana ganinsu.

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Kuma gaskiyar cewa ba za ka iya jin komai
a can ba yana haifar da tambayoyi da yawa.

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Domin idan Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya ya ce, "Sannu, akwai
wani babban karkata a nan!", to hakan zai yi tasiri ga siyasa.

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Ban fahimci dalilin da ya sa ba za ka iya jin komai ba.

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Saboda aikin hulɗa da jama'a da ofishin ya yi a shekarar 2020,
eh, da sanarwar manema labarai, tarurruka da sauransu, da duk

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wannan firgita-firgita, yanzu zai sami
sahihin tushe a cikin bayanai, kuma ba mu ji

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komai daga Ofishin Kididdiga na Tarayya ba.

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Don haka ana buƙatar ƙarin bayani nan da gaggawa.

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Kamar yadda na fada, ina roƙon goyon bayanku don
tabbatar da cewa an ɗauki waɗanda ke da alhaki a

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gaban shari'a, kuma mu ga yawan mutuwar matasa.

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To, da wannan na kammala jawabin nawa.

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Na gode da kulawarku, kuma ina yi muku fatan alheri.

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Ka kula da kanka, Marcel Barz.
