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Imeko yaseSyria iya isiba mandundu.

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Kodwa i-USA inxulumene nantoni na le
nto? IRashiya inxulumene nantoni na le nto?

4
00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:09,280
Uthi ntoni uDaniele Ganser, kwaye
uthini u-Ernst Wolff, umzekelo, ngale nto?

5
00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:14,920
Molo nonke, igama lam ndinguKrissy Rieger
weRieger Consulting Investment Academy.

6
00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:20,085
Kwaye ndiyakuxelela, ndineentetho
ezininzi kakhulu apha ezisekelwe kubungqina.

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Ngoko ke yonke into kufuneka icaciswe ukuze
abantu baqonde imeko ngcono, baqonde unxulumano

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olukhoyo kwaye benze uluvo lwabo ngokwabo ngayo.

9
00:00:30,859 --> 00:00:35,455
Ukusukela ekupheleni kukaNovemba,
imeko eSyria ibisoloko isiba mandundu.

10
00:00:35,455 --> 00:00:44,480
Amaqela abavukeli ayongxowankulu, kwaye asandul'
ukuthimba izixeko eziliqela; kuhlaselo oluqhubekayo eDamascus.

11
00:00:44,480 --> 00:00:50,221
Ngoku, zininzi iingxelo ezahlukeneyo ngale
nto, ngoko ke umntu makenze uluvo olunjani ngayo?

12
00:00:50,221 --> 00:00:59,455
Ngenxa yoko, ndineengxelo ezahlukeneyo zangaphambili nezangoku
onokuzifumana, eziya kukucacisela ngakumbi ngala makhonkco.

13
00:00:59,455 --> 00:01:05,259
I-Die Zeit ibhala: "Umkhosi waseSyria
ubhengeza ukuba ulawulo luka-Assad luphelile –

14
00:01:05,259 --> 00:01:09,390
abavukeli bakwiqonga likaBashar al-Assad eDamascus."

15
00:01:09,390 --> 00:01:16,267
U-Assad, umongameli, okanye ubuncinci owayesakuba
ngumongameli, kodwa ndiza kunixelela yonke loo nto kamva.

16
00:01:16,267 --> 00:01:19,653
Kuthiwa umlawuli oqhankqalazayo ushiye
iSyria. Ngoko ke, lixesha elidlulileyo.

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00:01:19,653 --> 00:01:24,301
Urhulumente ulungele ukunikezela amagunya, kubhala i-Die Zeit.

18
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Ikomkhulu laseSyria, iDamascus, liwele
ezandleni zombutho wabavukeli okhokelwa yimilisha

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yamaSilamsi i-HTS. Ulawulo luka-Assad lutyhoboziwe.

20
00:01:38,233 --> 00:01:45,498
Oku kubhengezwe ngeCawa, kuqala ngamajoni ezomkhosi
ngokwawo, kwaye kungekudala emva koko ngumkhosi waseSyria.

21
00:01:45,498 --> 00:01:51,258
Apho ngoku unokubona iividiyo ezahlukeneyo ezisasazeka
ngokukhawuleza kumakhasi onxibelelwano, ezibonisa umkhosi

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waseSyria utshintsha ngokukhawuleza iimpahla zabo zibe
zezabemi, bezama ukuphuma ezidolophini ngenjongo

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yokubaleka kule meko ngayo yonke indlela abanokukwazi ngayo.

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Kwiintsuku ezimbalwa, izixeko
ezibalulekileyo ezifana ne-Aleppo, i-Homs ne-Daraa zawela.

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Okwenzekileyo apho ngumbuzo omkhulu.

26
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Emva kweminyaka yoko kunokuchazwa njengokungashukumi kakhulu
kwimfazwe yamakhaya yaseSyria, imikhosi yamaSilamsi, okanye

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amaqela abavukeli njengoko ebizwa, iqalise uhlaselo olukhulu
kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo yaza emva

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koko yawuphosa phantsi urhulumente waseSyria
wangoku okanye wamva nje ongaphantsi kuka-Assad.

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Umbuzo wokuqala ngulo: Ingaba yayikhe yaqala njengemfazwe
yamakhaya eqhelekileyo? Oko kubaluleke kakhulu-kakhulu.

30
00:02:40,698 --> 00:02:45,860
Umzekelo, ukuba sijonga i-Ukraine: ingaba
yayikuko ngokwenene njengoko ibonakala?

31
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Kwaye njengoko bendisoloko nditsho
ngaphambili: Hayi, kwakungekho njalo.

32
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Kwaye kanye njengaseSyria, kubonakala
ngathi izinto azinjengoko ziboniswa kuthi.

33
00:02:53,984 --> 00:02:59,304
Nokuba kunjani, imfazwe yamakhaya yesiqhelo ibiya
kuba ngabemi abalwa norhulumente. Ingaba bekunjalo?

34
00:02:59,304 --> 00:03:05,020
Nanku umbono ovela kuMadelyn
Hoffman, waseNew Jersey Peace Action.

35
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Uthi: "Bendilwela uxolo iminyaka eli-16 kwaye ndiye
eSyria ukuze ndizibonele. Olu asilodabi lamakhaya eSyria."

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Sikuvile oko ngokuphindaphindiweyo, kodwa asiyonyani.

37
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Asinangxabano phakathi kuka-Assad nabantu bakhe.

38
00:03:20,255 --> 00:03:24,460
U-Assad ulwa namajoni aqeshiweyo kunye
nezigebenga ezixhaswa ngamazwe angaphandle.

39
00:03:24,460 --> 00:03:30,333
IVaqatar, iSaudi Arabia, iTurkey, iUnited States kunye ne-Israel.

40
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Noko ke, thina njenge-United States asinalo
ilungelo lokwenza utshintsho kurhulumente waseSyria.

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00:03:35,982 --> 00:03:41,900
Oko akuvumelekanga. Kufuneka siyeke
ukuxhasa amajoni aqeshiweyo eSyria.

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00:03:41,900 --> 00:03:46,764
Oko ngokwendalo kwenza yonke le meko ibonakale
ngendlela eyahluke ngokupheleleyo. Kodwa masiqhubeke.

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Ngubani uAssad? Enyanisweni, inqaku leWikipedia sele
litshintshiwe. Kanye namhlanje, enyanisweni. Okuhlekisayo.

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00:03:54,785 --> 00:04:01,341
UBashar Assad ngusopolitiki waseSyria owayenguMongameli waseSyria
ukusukela ngo-2000 ukuya ku-2024, oko

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kukuthi, kude kube namhlanje, kwaye walawula
ilizwe njengozwilakhe. Sele etshintshile.

46
00:04:07,152 --> 00:04:13,363
U-Assad ngokwakhe uthe naye angathanda ukuba
kubekho uncedo kumaKristu, abasengozini enkulu.

47
00:04:13,363 --> 00:04:17,540
Kuba kukwakho nengxabano yenkolo eSyria.

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Kwaye apha, umzekelo, liphephandaba lithi: "AmaKristu ngawona
axhaphazwayo. Inani lamaKristu eSyria liyancipha ngokuthe

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ngcembe. Ingcali yaseMbindi Mpuma uMatthias Kopp uyakhalaza."

50
00:04:27,020 --> 00:04:30,697
Imeko yabo yangoku e-Aleppo iyatshabalalisa.

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Ubusazi na ukuba iSyria yakha yaba yilizwe
elinabantu abangamaKristu abaninzi, kodwa

52
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ngoku uninzi lwamaKristu luxelwe ngaphandle?

53
00:04:39,096 --> 00:04:47,638
Kuthiwa ngo-2019, ngamanye amazwi kwisithuba esifutshane kakhulu,
malunga namaKrestu angama-500,000 asandul' ukuphuma kwakhona.

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00:04:47,638 --> 00:04:56,007
Kwaye ngoku, ukuba andiphazami, ipesenti yamaKristu
asahlala eSyria kuthiwa iphakathi kwe-8 ne-10 ekhulwini.

55
00:04:56,007 --> 00:05:04,293
Okunika umdla kananjalo: intatheli yophando eyaphinda yaqwalasela
ibali lombhobho weNord Stream, apho yaza yalahlekelwa lixesabiso

56
00:05:04,293 --> 00:05:07,986
layo, ubuncinci kumajelo eendaba aphambili – uSeymour Hersh.

57
00:05:07,986 --> 00:05:18,480
Waza wathi ngo-2016: "Ngo-2006, uWilliam Roebuck, owayesebenza
kwi-Ofisi yoZakuzo yase-US eDamascus, wacebisa ukuphembelela

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ungxwabano lwezonqulo eSyria ngenjongo yokungazinzisi u-Assad."

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Enye ingxelo yango-2006 ibonisa ukuba i-Ofisi
yoMmeli yase-US ichithe izigidi ezintlanu

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00:05:29,743 --> 00:05:33,060
zeedola ($5 million) ekuxhaseni ngemali abachasi.

61
00:05:33,060 --> 00:05:36,820
Nalapha, kuvela umbuzo: yintoni esemva koku?

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00:05:36,820 --> 00:05:40,580
Kwaye apha, kananjalo, baninzi abadlali
ababandakanyekileyo kunokuba sicinga.

63
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Kusoloko kunjalo – xa kungquzulwano kuyanda, usoloko
ucinga: Kulungile, ngabantu kurhulumente nje kuphela.

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Kodwa naphaya, umzekelo, iRashiya
iyabandakanyeka, asiyiyo i-US yodwa. IRashiya nayo

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iyabandakanyeka apha. Kwaye bamangalela i-US.

66
00:05:56,340 --> 00:06:02,752
Iministe yezangaphandle yaseRashiya, yaseTurkey
neyase-Iran idibene kwikomkhulu laseQatar,

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iDoha, ukuze ixoxe ngophuhliso olukhawulezayo eSyria.

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00:06:06,272 --> 00:06:13,652
Kwaye uLavrov waseRashiya, iMphathiswa yeMicimbi yezaNgaphandle
yaseRashiya, uqinisekisile iDamascus ukuba iMoscow

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00:06:13,652 --> 00:06:18,592
izakuqhubeka nokuxhasa umkhosi ekulweni uhlaselo lwabanqolobi.

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Indima yakwaRashiya kukulwa namaqela
abaphuli-mthetho eSyria. Nokuba bathi abasengobaphuli-mthetho.

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Utyhole umgaqo-nkqubo karhulumente waseMelika
ngokunyuka kweengxaki waza wathi abantu baseSyria baye baba

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ziixhoba lovavanyo olutsha lwezopolitiko zehlabathi.

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Egameni lamazwe amathathu, ukwabongoze incoko phakathi
kukarhulumente waseSyria nabalwi beqela eliphikisayo.

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Kodwa ngoku kubonakala ngathi uAssad uza
kulahliwa kwaye akayi kuxhaswa ixesha elide.

75
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Nkqu ne-Iran, nayo ethembise inkxaso yayo
ku-Assad, isuse abaphathi bayo bezomkhosi kunye

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namajoni ayo eSyria, okanye ubuncinci iqalile ukubasusa.

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Ngoko ke kubonakala ngathi inkxaso
iphelile ngokupheleleyo, okwangoku.

78
00:07:10,565 --> 00:07:18,000
Ngoko ke uyabona ukuba neRashiya nayo iyabandakanyeka
apha kwaye baninzi abantu abangakumbi abangena kule meko.

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Kwaye unokucinga nokuba uluvo lwaseJamani aluzukwahluka kakhulu.

80
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Ungabona okwenzekayo e-Ukraine ngoku.

81
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Ngoko ke, uthini uDaniele Ganser malunga neSyria? Makhe sijonge:

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U-2011, njengoko benditshilo, ukwaphantsi kuka-Obama kunye
nohlaselo eSyria. Nantsi iSyria nekapitali yayo iDamascus.

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Imeko ngelo xesha yayikukuba i-US yayifuna ukumoyisa umongameli
waseSyria, u-Assad. Noko ke, oku akuzange kuphumelele.

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00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:51,796
Ngoko ke, kamsinya nje emva kwemfazwe
yaseLibya, kwalandela imfazwe yaseSyria.

85
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Kwaye uAssad akazange awiswe, nangona i-US yazama.

86
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I-USA ke yaqalisa ukudubula iSyria ngo-2014.

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Kodwa sele bangenelele ngokufihlakeleyo eSyria ngo-2011.

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NgokukaGanser ngo-2011, uhlaselo
lwaseSyria lwaxhaswa ngokufihlakeleyo yi-USA.

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00:08:15,252 --> 00:08:22,660
Mhlawumbi abanye benu bakwakhumbula ukuqala
kwemfazwe yamakhaya eSyria ngo-2011 emva kwe-Arab Spring.

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Ngoko ke, i-Arab Spring yayiluthotho lwamaza eziqhankqalazo
azihlasele amazwe ama-Arabhu e-Afrika naseMbindi Mpuma.

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Kwaza ke kwalandela uhlaselo olusesikweni
ngo-2014. Kwaye apha ndinentetho ka-Obama yango-2014.

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Waza ke wathi, nditshoyo: "Bathyefile ngendlela
yoburhalarhume iintatheli ezimbini zaseMelika."

93
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I-IS ibeka isisongelo kubantu base-Iraq naseSyria.

94
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Ukuba abajongwanga, aba banqolobi baza
kusongela lonke le ngingqi kunye ne-United States.

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Kwimfazwe yokulwa ne-IS, asinakuthembela
kurhulumente ka-Assad, otyhutyha abantu bakhe.

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Olu lawulo alusekho semthethweni.

97
00:09:09,856 --> 00:09:15,419
Kwaye apha ndinanye nenqaku elidala elihle elithi:

98
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Ekugqibeleni! U-Obama uthatha amanyathelo angqongqo.
Phezolo, i-US ingene ngokusesikweni kwimfazwe yaseSyria

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okokuqala. Kugxininiswe kumagama athi "ngokusesikweni".

100
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Ngaphambili, bekukho ezinye izimvo nezinye iingquzulwano.

101
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IRashiya nayo yazibandakanya apha,
yaqala ukudubula iSyria ngeebhombu ngo-2015.

102
00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,920
Ngoko ke ewe, sinayo i-United
States, eqalile ukudubula ngeebhombu.

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Kwaza ke iRashiya nayo yazibandakanya,
yaqalisa nokubhombela ukuze incede uAssad.

104
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Kuba wayefuna ukubanceda ngezinye iindlela.

105
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Ngoko ke, uyabona, kuhlala kumalunga nezinto ezithandwayo.

106
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Abantu bahlala besithi imalunga nodemokhrasi, imalunga nabantu.

107
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Ewe kunjalo, imalunga nabantu, kwaye yiyo loo nto sibabhabhasela.

108
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Kuba sifuna ukubakhusela nokubakhulula.

109
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Ukuze ke bakwazi ukuvota ngendlela yedemokhrasi njalo njalo.

110
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Ngoko ke i-USA nayo ibandakanyekile apha ixesha elide.

111
00:10:02,912 --> 00:10:07,030
Apha sikwanayo nentetho evela kuRobert Kennedy Junior.

112
00:10:07,030 --> 00:10:13,216
Kwaye ngo-2016, watsho, ecaphula:
"Imfazwe yaseSyria yimfazwe yemibhobho."

113
00:10:13,216 --> 00:10:20,829
Iqale ngo-2000, xa iQatar yenza isaziso sokuba iza kwakha
umbhobho wegesi yendalo onobude obuyi-1,500

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leekhilomitha udlula eSaudi Arabia, eJordan
naseSyria usiya eTurkey nge-10 leebhiliyoni zeedola.

115
00:10:28,944 --> 00:10:35,072
ITurkey, siyakhumbula, iintetho,
iRashiya, iTurkey, iSiriya, njengoko babesitsho.

116
00:10:35,072 --> 00:10:42,695
Ekugqibeleni, ndineentetho ezivela
ku-Ernst Wolff malunga neziganeko zangoku eSyria.

117
00:10:42,695 --> 00:10:53,242
Uthi ke, kwelinye icala: "Ukusukela ngo-2011, i-US ichithe
izigidi ngezigidi ekuxhobiseni abavukeli-maxesha eSyria."

118
00:10:53,242 --> 00:10:56,093
Akuyonto yenzeke ngamabona-ndenzile ukuba benza isitrayiki ngoku.

119
00:10:56,093 --> 00:11:00,000
Oko kusenokuphendula umbuzo, wokuba kutheni kanye ngoku?

120
00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:08,020
Njengoko kusondela isiphelo emfazweni yase-Ukraine, ishishini
lezixhobo lase-US lidinga enye ibala ledabi elinengeniso.

121
00:11:08,020 --> 00:11:12,280
Ukwabhala esithi: "ESyria, asibona bantu
abaphakamisekayo bechasa urhulumente."

122
00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:16,640
Oko kuyahambelana nesiqalo. Apho
ndakubuza khona, ngaba yimfazwe yamakhaya?

123
00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:20,001
Ingaba yinyani ngokwenene, okanye yaqala yanjalo?

124
00:11:20,001 --> 00:11:26,040
Kwaye apha ubhala esithi: "Aba kuthiwa
ngabavukeli, sisiphumo sepolitiki yaseMelika."

125
00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,014
Ixhaswe ngemali, ixhotyiswe kwaye ixhaswe yi-USA.

126
00:11:29,014 --> 00:11:34,688
Injongo kukunika uNetanyahu, umkhapheli
waseMelika, amandla amakhulu ngakumbi eMbindi Mpuma.

127
00:11:34,688 --> 00:11:40,447
Kwaye apha kufuneka kuthiwe ukuba noTrump
ngokwakhe uthe akasayi kumnceda uAssad ngoku,

128
00:11:40,447 --> 00:11:43,649
kodwa uza kuqhubela phambili nale nto, masithi.

129
00:11:43,649 --> 00:11:50,999
Ngokwenene, kuyo yonke le ngxabano imalunga noSirayeli
– akayi kuzisa uxolo apha, kodwa ke, kucacisiwe gca

130
00:11:50,999 --> 00:11:56,100
ukuba uya kuxhasa yonke le nto echasene ne-Iran, ubuncinci.

131
00:11:56,100 --> 00:12:03,826
Kwaye ngoku, okunika umdla, uthini kanye
uMongameli owayesakuba nguAssad ngale nto?

132
00:12:03,826 --> 00:12:10,024
Ngo-2016, wathi oku kulandelayo,
okungangena kakuhle kulo mxholo wonke.

133
00:12:10,024 --> 00:12:17,068
I-SRF ingxelo: "Uyibona njengobuxoki into
yokuba ihlabathi likubona njengolityala lomlo?"

134
00:12:17,068 --> 00:12:25,680
Uthi: "Njengomongameli, ndikhusela ilizwe lam
kwizigebenga ezihlasele iSyria zizimela amanye amazwe."

135
00:12:25,680 --> 00:12:28,240
Aba balandelayo kufuneka batyholwe njengezigebenga zemfazwe:

136
00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:34,500
1. UGeorge Bush wahlasela i-Iraq ngaphandle kwemvume
evela kwiBhunga lezoKhuseleko leZizwe eziManyeneyo.

137
00:12:34,500 --> 00:12:42,963
2. UCameron noSarkozy, abahlasele iLibya ngaphandle
kwemvume yeBhunga lezoKhuseleko baza batshabalalisa ilizwe.

138
00:12:42,963 --> 00:12:49,584
3. Iinkokeli zaseNtshona ezixhase abaqhankqalazi
eSyria kule minyaka mihlanu idlulileyo kwaye

139
00:12:49,584 --> 00:12:53,600
zabeka uqhankqalazo olubulale amawaka abemi baseSyria.

140
00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:57,960
Utsho lo mbono ukuba iNtshona ifuna ukundirhoxisa.

141
00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:02,125
Ngoku akusayi kuphinda uthi, 'Owu, ngulowo
ulungileyo' okanye 'lawo ngawona alungileyo', 'bafuna

142
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ucwangco' okanye 'ufuna nje okona kulungileyo'.

143
00:13:04,233 --> 00:13:09,864
Ngokwenene, kufuneka kuthiwe ubulungisa bentlalo kwihlabathi
jikelele busasazwe ngokungalingani

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kangangokuba kuyacaca ukuba uninzi lwabantu
kwihlabathi jikelele lwenza kakubi kangakanani na.

145
00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:23,580
Akunakwenzeka ngokwenene ukubeka ityala kwabanye eJamani
ngoku, kuba, ewe kona, baninzi abantu abakwimeko embi ngakumbi.

146
00:13:23,580 --> 00:13:28,580
Oko akuthethi ukuba oku kutheka kufuneka
ke kwenziwe kube lula ngandlel' ithile.

147
00:13:28,580 --> 00:13:33,320
Kodwa le nto uyibonayo bubulungisa
bentlalo, into engazange ibe nomdla kuye nabani na.

148
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Ukuba ukungakhethi buso okanye ubulungisa
okanye idemokhrasi yokwenene kufanele ukuba kubekho.

149
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Ndisoloko ndisithi siphila kwidemokhrasi yobuxoki. Kutheni?

150
00:13:41,260 --> 00:13:48,320
Rhoqo emva kweminyaka embalwa, uyacelwa ukuba uphawule
ibhokisi, kwaye olu phawu alunampembelelo kwaphela kwikamva.

151
00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:54,243
Kuba le nkciwana nje ithetha kuphela ukuba ke ithetha
le nto wonke umntu ayaziyo, ah, izithembiso zaphukile.

152
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Oosopolitiki abazigcini izithembiso zabo. Oosopolitiki
benze nje ukujika okukhulu ngaphandle kokuthandabuza.

153
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Njengoko ngoku sibone ngokucacileyo ngeGreen Party, umzekelo.

154
00:14:01,690 --> 00:14:09,435
Abavoti babanyulile kuba bethembise oku nokuya, kwaye
ekugqibeleni kwabakho imfazwe nokuthunyelwa kwezixhobo, ingakumbi

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kwamanye amazwe, nto leyo eyayikade ibayicaphukisa kakhulu.

156
00:14:13,536 --> 00:14:19,740
Kwaye seso kanye isizathu endisoloko ndithetha ngentando
yabalawuli yobuxoki, kuba ayifani nentando yabalawuli yokwenene.

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00:14:19,740 --> 00:14:22,050
Idemokhrasi ithetha ukuba amandla avela ebantwini.

158
00:14:22,050 --> 00:14:27,600
Oku kuthetha ukuba abantu kufuneka
bahlale benamandla kwaye benze izigqibo.

159
00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:33,483
Ngoku, ndingathi, yimbono evela phezulu,
ukuba uninzi lwabantu alunayo kwaphela ingqiqo.

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00:14:33,483 --> 00:14:37,794
Kwaye andifuni ukuphikisana ngokupheleleyo,
kuba isininzi sabantu siyalahlekiswa

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ngokupheleleyo. Kodwa yile nto kanye le nkqubo iyifunayo.

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00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:46,130
Imfundo sele ilusizi ngokupheleleyo,
kwaye ke uhlalwa ulawulwa ngamaxesha onke.

163
00:14:46,130 --> 00:14:51,311
Kwaye ke ube noluvo olugwenxa lokuba ucinga ukuba
ngandlel' ithile unyanisile okanye uyazi yonke into ngcono,

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00:14:51,311 --> 00:14:54,180
nangona ungazazisanga okanye ungazange wenze naluphi na uphando.

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00:14:54,180 --> 00:15:02,628
Ngoko ke, oku ndikunikezeleyo apha kujolise
ekukukhuthazeni kuphela ukuba uvuleke kwiimbono zabanye, ukuba

166
00:15:02,628 --> 00:15:07,515
ukwamkele okuze ucingisise ngento okholelwa kuyo ngokwenene.

167
00:15:07,515 --> 00:15:10,028
Ndixelelwa into enye apha, enye phaya.

168
00:15:10,028 --> 00:15:13,757
Akufuneki ndibe nethiyo kwiimbono zam. Kufuneka
ndihlale ndivulelekile kwingethuba lokuba yonke into yahluke

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00:15:13,757 --> 00:15:15,940
ngokupheleleyo kunoko ndingakhokelwa ukuba ndikukholwe.

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00:15:15,940 --> 00:15:21,135
Ngoko ke, nceda uzive ukhululekile ukundibhalela
unikezele ngeenkcukacha zakho malunga nemeko yangoku eseSiriya.

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00:15:21,135 --> 00:15:24,208
Kwaye siza kubonana kwividiyo elandelayo, kunjalo. Hamba kakuhle!