WEBVTT

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Imeko yaseSyria iya isiba mandundu.

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Kodwa i-USA inxulumene nantoni na le
nto? IRashiya inxulumene nantoni na le nto?

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Uthi ntoni uDaniele Ganser, kwaye
uthini u-Ernst Wolff, umzekelo, ngale nto?

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Molo nonke, igama lam ndinguKrissy Rieger
weRieger Consulting Investment Academy.

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Kwaye ndiyakuxelela, ndineentetho
ezininzi kakhulu apha ezisekelwe kubungqina.

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Ngoko ke yonke into kufuneka icaciswe ukuze
abantu baqonde imeko ngcono, baqonde unxulumano

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olukhoyo kwaye benze uluvo lwabo ngokwabo ngayo.

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Ukusukela ekupheleni kukaNovemba,
imeko eSyria ibisoloko isiba mandundu.

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Amaqela abavukeli ayongxowankulu, kwaye asandul'
ukuthimba izixeko eziliqela; kuhlaselo oluqhubekayo eDamascus.

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Ngoku, zininzi iingxelo ezahlukeneyo ngale
nto, ngoko ke umntu makenze uluvo olunjani ngayo?

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Ngenxa yoko, ndineengxelo ezahlukeneyo zangaphambili nezangoku
onokuzifumana, eziya kukucacisela ngakumbi ngala makhonkco.

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I-Die Zeit ibhala: "Umkhosi waseSyria
ubhengeza ukuba ulawulo luka-Assad luphelile –

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abavukeli bakwiqonga likaBashar al-Assad eDamascus."

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U-Assad, umongameli, okanye ubuncinci owayesakuba
ngumongameli, kodwa ndiza kunixelela yonke loo nto kamva.

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Kuthiwa umlawuli oqhankqalazayo ushiye
iSyria. Ngoko ke, lixesha elidlulileyo.

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Urhulumente ulungele ukunikezela amagunya, kubhala i-Die Zeit.

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Ikomkhulu laseSyria, iDamascus, liwele
ezandleni zombutho wabavukeli okhokelwa yimilisha

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yamaSilamsi i-HTS. Ulawulo luka-Assad lutyhoboziwe.

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Oku kubhengezwe ngeCawa, kuqala ngamajoni ezomkhosi
ngokwawo, kwaye kungekudala emva koko ngumkhosi waseSyria.

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Apho ngoku unokubona iividiyo ezahlukeneyo ezisasazeka
ngokukhawuleza kumakhasi onxibelelwano, ezibonisa umkhosi

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waseSyria utshintsha ngokukhawuleza iimpahla zabo zibe
zezabemi, bezama ukuphuma ezidolophini ngenjongo

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yokubaleka kule meko ngayo yonke indlela abanokukwazi ngayo.

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Kwiintsuku ezimbalwa, izixeko
ezibalulekileyo ezifana ne-Aleppo, i-Homs ne-Daraa zawela.

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Okwenzekileyo apho ngumbuzo omkhulu.

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Emva kweminyaka yoko kunokuchazwa njengokungashukumi kakhulu
kwimfazwe yamakhaya yaseSyria, imikhosi yamaSilamsi, okanye

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amaqela abavukeli njengoko ebizwa, iqalise uhlaselo olukhulu
kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo yaza emva

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koko yawuphosa phantsi urhulumente waseSyria
wangoku okanye wamva nje ongaphantsi kuka-Assad.

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Umbuzo wokuqala ngulo: Ingaba yayikhe yaqala njengemfazwe
yamakhaya eqhelekileyo? Oko kubaluleke kakhulu-kakhulu.

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Umzekelo, ukuba sijonga i-Ukraine: ingaba
yayikuko ngokwenene njengoko ibonakala?

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Kwaye njengoko bendisoloko nditsho
ngaphambili: Hayi, kwakungekho njalo.

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Kwaye kanye njengaseSyria, kubonakala
ngathi izinto azinjengoko ziboniswa kuthi.

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Nokuba kunjani, imfazwe yamakhaya yesiqhelo ibiya
kuba ngabemi abalwa norhulumente. Ingaba bekunjalo?

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Nanku umbono ovela kuMadelyn
Hoffman, waseNew Jersey Peace Action.

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Uthi: "Bendilwela uxolo iminyaka eli-16 kwaye ndiye
eSyria ukuze ndizibonele. Olu asilodabi lamakhaya eSyria."

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Sikuvile oko ngokuphindaphindiweyo, kodwa asiyonyani.

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Asinangxabano phakathi kuka-Assad nabantu bakhe.

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U-Assad ulwa namajoni aqeshiweyo kunye
nezigebenga ezixhaswa ngamazwe angaphandle.

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IVaqatar, iSaudi Arabia, iTurkey, iUnited States kunye ne-Israel.

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Noko ke, thina njenge-United States asinalo
ilungelo lokwenza utshintsho kurhulumente waseSyria.

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Oko akuvumelekanga. Kufuneka siyeke
ukuxhasa amajoni aqeshiweyo eSyria.

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Oko ngokwendalo kwenza yonke le meko ibonakale
ngendlela eyahluke ngokupheleleyo. Kodwa masiqhubeke.

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Ngubani uAssad? Enyanisweni, inqaku leWikipedia sele
litshintshiwe. Kanye namhlanje, enyanisweni. Okuhlekisayo.

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UBashar Assad ngusopolitiki waseSyria owayenguMongameli waseSyria
ukusukela ngo-2000 ukuya ku-2024, oko

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kukuthi, kude kube namhlanje, kwaye walawula
ilizwe njengozwilakhe. Sele etshintshile.

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U-Assad ngokwakhe uthe naye angathanda ukuba
kubekho uncedo kumaKristu, abasengozini enkulu.

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Kuba kukwakho nengxabano yenkolo eSyria.

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Kwaye apha, umzekelo, liphephandaba lithi: "AmaKristu ngawona
axhaphazwayo. Inani lamaKristu eSyria liyancipha ngokuthe

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ngcembe. Ingcali yaseMbindi Mpuma uMatthias Kopp uyakhalaza."

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Imeko yabo yangoku e-Aleppo iyatshabalalisa.

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Ubusazi na ukuba iSyria yakha yaba yilizwe
elinabantu abangamaKristu abaninzi, kodwa

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ngoku uninzi lwamaKristu luxelwe ngaphandle?

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Kuthiwa ngo-2019, ngamanye amazwi kwisithuba esifutshane kakhulu,
malunga namaKrestu angama-500,000 asandul' ukuphuma kwakhona.

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Kwaye ngoku, ukuba andiphazami, ipesenti yamaKristu
asahlala eSyria kuthiwa iphakathi kwe-8 ne-10 ekhulwini.

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Okunika umdla kananjalo: intatheli yophando eyaphinda yaqwalasela
ibali lombhobho weNord Stream, apho yaza yalahlekelwa lixesabiso

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layo, ubuncinci kumajelo eendaba aphambili – uSeymour Hersh.

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Waza wathi ngo-2016: "Ngo-2006, uWilliam Roebuck, owayesebenza
kwi-Ofisi yoZakuzo yase-US eDamascus, wacebisa ukuphembelela

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ungxwabano lwezonqulo eSyria ngenjongo yokungazinzisi u-Assad."

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Enye ingxelo yango-2006 ibonisa ukuba i-Ofisi
yoMmeli yase-US ichithe izigidi ezintlanu

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zeedola ($5 million) ekuxhaseni ngemali abachasi.

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Nalapha, kuvela umbuzo: yintoni esemva koku?

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Kwaye apha, kananjalo, baninzi abadlali
ababandakanyekileyo kunokuba sicinga.

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Kusoloko kunjalo – xa kungquzulwano kuyanda, usoloko
ucinga: Kulungile, ngabantu kurhulumente nje kuphela.

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Kodwa naphaya, umzekelo, iRashiya
iyabandakanyeka, asiyiyo i-US yodwa. IRashiya nayo

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iyabandakanyeka apha. Kwaye bamangalela i-US.

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Iministe yezangaphandle yaseRashiya, yaseTurkey
neyase-Iran idibene kwikomkhulu laseQatar,

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iDoha, ukuze ixoxe ngophuhliso olukhawulezayo eSyria.

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Kwaye uLavrov waseRashiya, iMphathiswa yeMicimbi yezaNgaphandle
yaseRashiya, uqinisekisile iDamascus ukuba iMoscow

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izakuqhubeka nokuxhasa umkhosi ekulweni uhlaselo lwabanqolobi.

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Indima yakwaRashiya kukulwa namaqela
abaphuli-mthetho eSyria. Nokuba bathi abasengobaphuli-mthetho.

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Utyhole umgaqo-nkqubo karhulumente waseMelika
ngokunyuka kweengxaki waza wathi abantu baseSyria baye baba

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ziixhoba lovavanyo olutsha lwezopolitiko zehlabathi.

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Egameni lamazwe amathathu, ukwabongoze incoko phakathi
kukarhulumente waseSyria nabalwi beqela eliphikisayo.

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Kodwa ngoku kubonakala ngathi uAssad uza
kulahliwa kwaye akayi kuxhaswa ixesha elide.

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Nkqu ne-Iran, nayo ethembise inkxaso yayo
ku-Assad, isuse abaphathi bayo bezomkhosi kunye

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namajoni ayo eSyria, okanye ubuncinci iqalile ukubasusa.

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Ngoko ke kubonakala ngathi inkxaso
iphelile ngokupheleleyo, okwangoku.

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Ngoko ke uyabona ukuba neRashiya nayo iyabandakanyeka
apha kwaye baninzi abantu abangakumbi abangena kule meko.

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Kwaye unokucinga nokuba uluvo lwaseJamani aluzukwahluka kakhulu.

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Ungabona okwenzekayo e-Ukraine ngoku.

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Ngoko ke, uthini uDaniele Ganser malunga neSyria? Makhe sijonge:

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U-2011, njengoko benditshilo, ukwaphantsi kuka-Obama kunye
nohlaselo eSyria. Nantsi iSyria nekapitali yayo iDamascus.

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Imeko ngelo xesha yayikukuba i-US yayifuna ukumoyisa umongameli
waseSyria, u-Assad. Noko ke, oku akuzange kuphumelele.

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Ngoko ke, kamsinya nje emva kwemfazwe
yaseLibya, kwalandela imfazwe yaseSyria.

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Kwaye uAssad akazange awiswe, nangona i-US yazama.

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I-USA ke yaqalisa ukudubula iSyria ngo-2014.

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Kodwa sele bangenelele ngokufihlakeleyo eSyria ngo-2011.

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NgokukaGanser ngo-2011, uhlaselo
lwaseSyria lwaxhaswa ngokufihlakeleyo yi-USA.

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Mhlawumbi abanye benu bakwakhumbula ukuqala
kwemfazwe yamakhaya eSyria ngo-2011 emva kwe-Arab Spring.

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Ngoko ke, i-Arab Spring yayiluthotho lwamaza eziqhankqalazo
azihlasele amazwe ama-Arabhu e-Afrika naseMbindi Mpuma.

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Kwaza ke kwalandela uhlaselo olusesikweni
ngo-2014. Kwaye apha ndinentetho ka-Obama yango-2014.

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Waza ke wathi, nditshoyo: "Bathyefile ngendlela
yoburhalarhume iintatheli ezimbini zaseMelika."

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I-IS ibeka isisongelo kubantu base-Iraq naseSyria.

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Ukuba abajongwanga, aba banqolobi baza
kusongela lonke le ngingqi kunye ne-United States.

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Kwimfazwe yokulwa ne-IS, asinakuthembela
kurhulumente ka-Assad, otyhutyha abantu bakhe.

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Olu lawulo alusekho semthethweni.

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Kwaye apha ndinanye nenqaku elidala elihle elithi:

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Ekugqibeleni! U-Obama uthatha amanyathelo angqongqo.
Phezolo, i-US ingene ngokusesikweni kwimfazwe yaseSyria

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okokuqala. Kugxininiswe kumagama athi "ngokusesikweni".

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Ngaphambili, bekukho ezinye izimvo nezinye iingquzulwano.

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IRashiya nayo yazibandakanya apha,
yaqala ukudubula iSyria ngeebhombu ngo-2015.

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Ngoko ke ewe, sinayo i-United
States, eqalile ukudubula ngeebhombu.

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Kwaza ke iRashiya nayo yazibandakanya,
yaqalisa nokubhombela ukuze incede uAssad.

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Kuba wayefuna ukubanceda ngezinye iindlela.

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Ngoko ke, uyabona, kuhlala kumalunga nezinto ezithandwayo.

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Abantu bahlala besithi imalunga nodemokhrasi, imalunga nabantu.

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Ewe kunjalo, imalunga nabantu, kwaye yiyo loo nto sibabhabhasela.

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Kuba sifuna ukubakhusela nokubakhulula.

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Ukuze ke bakwazi ukuvota ngendlela yedemokhrasi njalo njalo.

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Ngoko ke i-USA nayo ibandakanyekile apha ixesha elide.

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Apha sikwanayo nentetho evela kuRobert Kennedy Junior.

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Kwaye ngo-2016, watsho, ecaphula:
"Imfazwe yaseSyria yimfazwe yemibhobho."

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Iqale ngo-2000, xa iQatar yenza isaziso sokuba iza kwakha
umbhobho wegesi yendalo onobude obuyi-1,500

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leekhilomitha udlula eSaudi Arabia, eJordan
naseSyria usiya eTurkey nge-10 leebhiliyoni zeedola.

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ITurkey, siyakhumbula, iintetho,
iRashiya, iTurkey, iSiriya, njengoko babesitsho.

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Ekugqibeleni, ndineentetho ezivela
ku-Ernst Wolff malunga neziganeko zangoku eSyria.

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Uthi ke, kwelinye icala: "Ukusukela ngo-2011, i-US ichithe
izigidi ngezigidi ekuxhobiseni abavukeli-maxesha eSyria."

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Akuyonto yenzeke ngamabona-ndenzile ukuba benza isitrayiki ngoku.

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Oko kusenokuphendula umbuzo, wokuba kutheni kanye ngoku?

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Njengoko kusondela isiphelo emfazweni yase-Ukraine, ishishini
lezixhobo lase-US lidinga enye ibala ledabi elinengeniso.

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Ukwabhala esithi: "ESyria, asibona bantu
abaphakamisekayo bechasa urhulumente."

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Oko kuyahambelana nesiqalo. Apho
ndakubuza khona, ngaba yimfazwe yamakhaya?

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Ingaba yinyani ngokwenene, okanye yaqala yanjalo?

11:20.001 --> 11:26.040
Kwaye apha ubhala esithi: "Aba kuthiwa
ngabavukeli, sisiphumo sepolitiki yaseMelika."

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Ixhaswe ngemali, ixhotyiswe kwaye ixhaswe yi-USA.

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Injongo kukunika uNetanyahu, umkhapheli
waseMelika, amandla amakhulu ngakumbi eMbindi Mpuma.

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Kwaye apha kufuneka kuthiwe ukuba noTrump
ngokwakhe uthe akasayi kumnceda uAssad ngoku,

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kodwa uza kuqhubela phambili nale nto, masithi.

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Ngokwenene, kuyo yonke le ngxabano imalunga noSirayeli
– akayi kuzisa uxolo apha, kodwa ke, kucacisiwe gca

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ukuba uya kuxhasa yonke le nto echasene ne-Iran, ubuncinci.

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Kwaye ngoku, okunika umdla, uthini kanye
uMongameli owayesakuba nguAssad ngale nto?

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Ngo-2016, wathi oku kulandelayo,
okungangena kakuhle kulo mxholo wonke.

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I-SRF ingxelo: "Uyibona njengobuxoki into
yokuba ihlabathi likubona njengolityala lomlo?"

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Uthi: "Njengomongameli, ndikhusela ilizwe lam
kwizigebenga ezihlasele iSyria zizimela amanye amazwe."

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Aba balandelayo kufuneka batyholwe njengezigebenga zemfazwe:

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1. UGeorge Bush wahlasela i-Iraq ngaphandle kwemvume
evela kwiBhunga lezoKhuseleko leZizwe eziManyeneyo.

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2. UCameron noSarkozy, abahlasele iLibya ngaphandle
kwemvume yeBhunga lezoKhuseleko baza batshabalalisa ilizwe.

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3. Iinkokeli zaseNtshona ezixhase abaqhankqalazi
eSyria kule minyaka mihlanu idlulileyo kwaye

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zabeka uqhankqalazo olubulale amawaka abemi baseSyria.

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Utsho lo mbono ukuba iNtshona ifuna ukundirhoxisa.

12:57.960 --> 13:02.125
Ngoku akusayi kuphinda uthi, 'Owu, ngulowo
ulungileyo' okanye 'lawo ngawona alungileyo', 'bafuna

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ucwangco' okanye 'ufuna nje okona kulungileyo'.

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Ngokwenene, kufuneka kuthiwe ubulungisa bentlalo kwihlabathi
jikelele busasazwe ngokungalingani

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kangangokuba kuyacaca ukuba uninzi lwabantu
kwihlabathi jikelele lwenza kakubi kangakanani na.

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Akunakwenzeka ngokwenene ukubeka ityala kwabanye eJamani
ngoku, kuba, ewe kona, baninzi abantu abakwimeko embi ngakumbi.

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Oko akuthethi ukuba oku kutheka kufuneka
ke kwenziwe kube lula ngandlel' ithile.

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Kodwa le nto uyibonayo bubulungisa
bentlalo, into engazange ibe nomdla kuye nabani na.

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Ukuba ukungakhethi buso okanye ubulungisa
okanye idemokhrasi yokwenene kufanele ukuba kubekho.

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Ndisoloko ndisithi siphila kwidemokhrasi yobuxoki. Kutheni?

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Rhoqo emva kweminyaka embalwa, uyacelwa ukuba uphawule
ibhokisi, kwaye olu phawu alunampembelelo kwaphela kwikamva.

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Kuba le nkciwana nje ithetha kuphela ukuba ke ithetha
le nto wonke umntu ayaziyo, ah, izithembiso zaphukile.

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Oosopolitiki abazigcini izithembiso zabo. Oosopolitiki
benze nje ukujika okukhulu ngaphandle kokuthandabuza.

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Njengoko ngoku sibone ngokucacileyo ngeGreen Party, umzekelo.

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Abavoti babanyulile kuba bethembise oku nokuya, kwaye
ekugqibeleni kwabakho imfazwe nokuthunyelwa kwezixhobo, ingakumbi

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kwamanye amazwe, nto leyo eyayikade ibayicaphukisa kakhulu.

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Kwaye seso kanye isizathu endisoloko ndithetha ngentando
yabalawuli yobuxoki, kuba ayifani nentando yabalawuli yokwenene.

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Idemokhrasi ithetha ukuba amandla avela ebantwini.

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Oku kuthetha ukuba abantu kufuneka
bahlale benamandla kwaye benze izigqibo.

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Ngoku, ndingathi, yimbono evela phezulu,
ukuba uninzi lwabantu alunayo kwaphela ingqiqo.

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Kwaye andifuni ukuphikisana ngokupheleleyo,
kuba isininzi sabantu siyalahlekiswa

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ngokupheleleyo. Kodwa yile nto kanye le nkqubo iyifunayo.

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Imfundo sele ilusizi ngokupheleleyo,
kwaye ke uhlalwa ulawulwa ngamaxesha onke.

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Kwaye ke ube noluvo olugwenxa lokuba ucinga ukuba
ngandlel' ithile unyanisile okanye uyazi yonke into ngcono,

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nangona ungazazisanga okanye ungazange wenze naluphi na uphando.

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Ngoko ke, oku ndikunikezeleyo apha kujolise
ekukukhuthazeni kuphela ukuba uvuleke kwiimbono zabanye, ukuba

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ukwamkele okuze ucingisise ngento okholelwa kuyo ngokwenene.

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Ndixelelwa into enye apha, enye phaya.

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Akufuneki ndibe nethiyo kwiimbono zam. Kufuneka
ndihlale ndivulelekile kwingethuba lokuba yonke into yahluke

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ngokupheleleyo kunoko ndingakhokelwa ukuba ndikukholwe.

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Ngoko ke, nceda uzive ukhululekile ukundibhalela
unikezele ngeenkcukacha zakho malunga nemeko yangoku eseSiriya.

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Kwaye siza kubonana kwividiyo elandelayo, kunjalo. Hamba kakuhle!