I Hānuere 2025, i muri i ngā pēke e ono nui rawa atu o Amerika, i tangohia hoki a BlackRock, te rōpū pūtea nui
rawa atu o te ao, i te Kotahitanga āhuarangi Net Zero.
Ko te pēke matua kaha rawa, ko te Federal Reserve, e mohiotia ana ko te FED mō te poto, i wehe i te "Green Finance Network".
I taua wā anō, i pānuitia e Trump, te Perehitini hou o Amerika, ka arotahi anō ia katoa ki ngā hinu kōiwi.
Ka kōpū mātou, e te pēpi, ka kōpū.
I te aronga o ngā āhuarangi tino kaha, he tokomaha ngā rangatahi e whai wāhi ana ki ngā nekehanga āhuarangi
pērā i a Fridays for Future me Extinction Rebellion.
Me pēnei ki a koe te tangohanga atu o ngā kaihaumi matua, he pākahukahu ki tō kanohi.
Hei mārama pai ake ki ngā take o nāianei, me titiro tuatahi tātou ki te putanga mai o ngā nekehanga tiaki āhuarangi.
1. Te putanga mai o te nekehanga āhuarangi
I te tau 2006, i tuatahi a Al Gore, he tangata tōrangapū me te kaipakihi nō Amerika, ki te whakaatu ki te
hunga whānui o te ao i tana kiriata An Inconvenient Truth.
E whakaatu ana tēnei i tētahi āhuatanga whakamutunga o te ao nā te whakamahana ā-ao i hangaia e te tangata.
He tangata whai rawa miriona a Gore, ā, i tū ia hei Tumuaki Tuarua tu 45 o te Uniana o
Amerika i raro i te Perehitini a Bill Clinton.
I Hūrae 2008, i matapae a Al Gore: "Kāore rawa e taea te pupuri tonu i tō tātou ara o nāianei."
Ngā kairangahau puta noa i te ao e kī ana ki a tātou, tērā pea kāore e neke atu i te tekau tau e toe ana kia whai
wāhi ai tātou ki te whakatutuki i ngā panonitanga nui hei aukati i ngā pānga tino kino o te raru āhuarangi.
…Ā, ko te huarahi kotahi anake hei whai kawenga, ko te whakatika i te raru i tōna pakiaka, arā, te tahuna o ngā hinu kōhura.
Mai i taua wā, ko te aro katoa ki te whakaiti i ngā tukunga CO2 hei pakiaka o ngā kino katoa.
E whakaarohia ana ko te $300 miriona te whakapau pūtea PR a Gore hei whakawhē i te iwi mō te tau 2009 anake.
I waenga i ētahi atu, nā Al Gore i whakatū ētahi whakahaere i whakangungu i ngā tāngata e kīia nei he "rangatira āhuarangi" .
Nā tēnei i ara ake ai ngā nekehanga pērā i a Fridays for Future me Extinction Rebellion.
I whakatairangahia motuhake ngā tūāhua pērā i a Greta Thunberg, Luisa Neubauer me Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez, ā, i whakatūria he whatunga āhuarangi nui.
2. Ngā hangarau hou hei tauira pakihi mō te hunga tino whai rawa
I roto i te tirohanga a te iwi whānui, ko ngā kaitautoko pērā i a Greta Thunberg tonu i pēhi i ngā
kai-tōrangapū mā ngā whakahe whai hua i ngā pāpāho.
Engari, he tika rānei tēnei titiro a te marea?
tau i mua i te puta tuatahi a Greta Thunberg ki te marea, kua tīmata kē te Pēke o te Ao me te WEF ki te
whakarite i te ara mō tētahi kaupapa here āhuarangi hou.
I ngā tau i mua i te tīmatanga o ngā hīkoi whakahe mō te āhuarangi, i tīmata hoki ngā rangatira pūtea ki te haumi rau
piriona tāra ki ngā pūtea haumi ā-mua mō ngā kamupene āhuarangi kāore i te whai tikanga, me te whakawhānui i ngā kaha whakaputa.
Nā tēnei i āhei ai rātou ki te whakatū i a rātou hei kaiārahi mākete, ā, ki te tū mō ngā kirimana nui.
He mea ohorere, i muri tata iho i te puta tuatahi o Greta ki te pāpāho i tana hīkoi whakaheke kura whai hua i
Akuhata 2018, ka tīmata ngā kai-tōrangapū ki te mahi.
Hei tauira, i te 17 o Oketopa 2018, i hainatia e te Perehitini o te Uniana o Europi i taua wā, a Juncker, tētahi memoranduma mō te
mōhiotanga tahi ki te pūtea haumi pūngao mā, arā ko Breakthrough Energy Europe. Ko te pākete tīmatanga: 100 miriona euro.
Nā reira, me whakawhiwhi ki ngā kamupene mema tino whai rawa te uru manakohia ki ngā pūtea a te Uniana o Europi.
Ko Bill Gates te kaiwhakatū o te pūtea haumi a Breakthrough Energy.
Ko ngā mema he tangata tino whai rawa, pērā i a Mark Zuckerberg nō Facebook, a Julian Robertson nō te hinonga pūtea tūpono nui
a Tiger Management, a David Rubenstein, te kaiwhakatū o te Rōpū Carlyle, a George Soros, a Jack Ma nō Alibaba, me ētahi atu.
Kua whakawhānuihia tonu e te EU te mākete mō te "hangarau āhuarangi".
I te marama o Hui-tanguru 2019, i tūtohu a Juncker kia whakapaua ia euro tuawhā o te tahua a te Uniana o Europi
ki te whakaiti i ngā pānga o te panonitanga āhuarangi i waenga i te tau 2022 me te tau 2027.
E kitea ana kua whakatūwhera ngā kai-tōrangapū i te huarahi mā ā rātou ture kia puta ai he mākete tino whai
hua mō ngā hangarau āhuarangi a ngā kaitākaro matua.
I rua ngā wā te tūponotanga o ēnei kamupene kia angitu. I taea e rātou te whai painga i ngā pūtea āwhina a te
Uniana o Europi me te nui o te hiahia mō ā rātou hua.
Kei te pēhanga nui a te Uniana o Europi ki ngā whenua kia tutuki i tēnei tono, i te mea e whakatairangahia ana ngā
hangarau pērā i te hiko hau, te hiko rā me te nekeneke hiko.
Ko ngā kupu pērā i te 'waewae taiao' me te 'waewae waro' e whakaatu ana kua riro te CO2 hei ine mō ngā mea katoa.
Hei kī noa, kua riro a "CO2" hei momo moni hou i ngā mākete hea.
Mai i te tīmatanga, i arotahi katoa ki te whakaiti i te CO2 hei take kotahi mō te nuinga o ngā raruraru āhuarangi.
Kāore he āwhā me ngā taitara kotahi:
Ko te panonitanga āhuarangi te hē! Me whakaiti tātou i ngā tukunga CO2!
Ko te mea e whakapae ai tētahi, kāore ētahi atu take i whakaarohia, ahakoa he iti rawa,
mō ngā waipuke me ngā ahi tino whakangaro.
He kino ake, kāore he tūmanako kia puta ngā reo a te hāpori pūtaiao me ngā mātanga e pātai
ana i te kōrero a te iwi whānui ki ngā pāpāho.
Hei tauira, he tini rawa ngā pateni e whakaatu ana me pēhea te māmā o te waihanga i ngā aitua āhuarangi i ēnei rā.
He iti rawa ngā wā e matapaki ana mō te whakangaromanga o te taiao, pērā i te whakakore ngahere hei tiki
rauemi mata whai hua, me te whakawhānui i ngā pāmu hau.
Ko te aro kotahi ki te 'panonitanga āhuarangi' nā te CO₂ anake i hua, e tata kore e aro ki
ngā kino taiao tino nui me ngā kaiwhakangaro.
Kei te whakatauritea te panonitanga āhuarangi me te whakangaromanga o te taiao i
runga i tētahi huarahi kāore e whakaaetia.
Hoki ki te tōrangapū: E whakapūmau ana hoki a Dr Ottmar Edenhofer kāore rawa te kaupapa here āhuarangi i pā ana ki
te tiaki taiao, engari he mea mō ngā painga ōhanga mārō.
Ko ia te Kaiwhakahaere me te Tumu Ōhanga o te Pokapū Rangahau Ahuarangi o Potsdam:
Me whakamārama mārika, kei te whakahāngai tūturu mātou i ngā rawa o te ao mā te kaupapa here āhuarangi.
Me whakaora tātou i a tātou anō i te whakapohehe e mea ana he kaupapa taiao te kaupapa here ā-ao mō te āhuarangi.
Kāore he nui rawa tōna hononga ki ngā kaupapa here taiao, ki ngā raruraru pērā i te
whakangaromanga o ngā ngahere me te kohao o te paparanga ozone.
Taku whakatau ā-waenga:
Nō reira, ahakoa e tautoko ā-ture ana ngā kamupene nunui me ngā piriona-tini i te toitūtanga nui ake me te
āhuarangi, kei te whiwhi hua nui rātou i taua wā kotahi.
3. Te wehenga nui atu i ngā kotahitanga āhuarangi
Ināianei ka hoki anō tātou ki te tīmatanga – ko BlackRock me ōna hoa e wehe ana i te Kotahitanga āhuarangi.
Ka ara ake te pātai: He aha i wehe atu ai ngā kaiwhakangao nui rawa atu i ngā hangarau
kākāriki, ā, e huri ana ki te hiko nukleara?
Ā, he aha i hiahia ai a Perehitini o Amerika, a Trump, kia whakawhirinaki anō katoa ki ngā hinu kōiwi?
Kua ohorere rānei kāore rātou e aro ana ki te taiao? Rānei kāore rātou i aro i ngā wā katoa?
Ka tukuna e Ernst Wolff, tohunga pūtea me te kai tātari, he take tino whakapono.
"Ko te kaupapa matua hou e pā ana ki te mātauranga hangarua."
Ā, he mea whakamīharo, nā te mea ko te kaupapa o te Forum Ōhanga o te Ao o tēnei tau, te hui i Davos, ko te
whakataukī "Te Mahi Ngātahi i te Ao Mātau", nō reira e pā ana katoa ki te mātauranga hangarua.
Kua whakahuatia anō te mātauranga hangarua i ngā wā maha i ēnei rā, otirā ki konei i Switzerland, i
roto i ngā pūrongo katoa mō te World Economic Forum.
Ā, ka whakamārama tonu he mea kāore e whakatumatuma, engari he mea e waihanga ana i ngā tūranga mahi hou, kia kore
ai tātou katoa e āwangawanga. He tino rerekē te āhuatanga.
Nō reira, kāore e kore, he tino hiahia tā te hunga whai mana ki te anga whakamua ki te mātauranga
hangarua, nā te nui o te moni ka taea te whiwhi i reira.
He mea whakamīharo anō hoki te mōhio kua tangohia e BlackRock tōna ingoa i te kaupapa Net Zero o Ngā Motu Whakakotahi.
Nō te mea kāore te aro ki te panonitanga āhuarangi, engari kei te aro ki te hiko nukleara.
Ā, i te mea kāore e taea te hanga tere i ngā tipu hiko nukleara, ka roa pea ngā tau maha i mua i tō rātou whakamahinga, nō reira
me whakawhirinaki tonu tātou ki ngā hinu tūturu mō tēnei wā.
Ā, mēnā ka whakawhirinaki koe ki a rātou, kāore koe e taea te ū ki te kaupapa āhuarangi.
He mea whakamīharo kia mōhio kāore rātou i kī i tētahi wā kia whakakorehia te tāke CO2.
Nō reira ka haere tonu rātou ki te whai rawa mō rātou anō, kāore he here, ā, ka kite tātou, ahakoa
pēhea, ka tautoko ā-aronga te WEF i tēnei katoa.
4. Te whakamahinga pūngao mō te mātauranga hangarua me tōna toitūtanga
I roto i ngā kamupene AI, ko te toitūtanga o te mātauranga hangarua he kaupapa e wera ana ngā kōrero.
I te 26 o Noema 2024, i whakaputaina ki te paetukutuku a Al Gore tētahi pepa e whakarāpopoto ana i te matapaki.
"E ai ki tētahi tatauranga, i hiahiatia e te GPT-4 a OpenAI te 50 gigawatt-haora (GWh) hiko hei
whakangungu – tata ki te kai hiko ā-tau o tētahi tāone iti."
… Ahakoa e haere tonu ana te whakapai ake o ngā tauira AI, e hiahiatia ana e rātou ngā pokapū raraunga nui ake.
I kī a Zuckerberg me whakamahi pea he teihana hiko katoa kia whakahaere i tētahi pokapū raraunga kotahi.
… E ai ki te Tari Pūngao ā-Ao (IEA), ka tata rua ngā wā te pikinga o te hiahia pūngao i waenga i te tau 2022 me te tau 2026.
Heoi anō, kei reira hoki ētahi matapae e tino kino ake ana.
He tino whakamārama hoki te whakatau:
"Ki te pono, e whakapono ana mātou he tino iti rawa te tūponotanga ka whakaroa e tētahi kaiwhakarato kapua te whakawhānuitanga
o āna pokapū raraunga kia tutuki ai ngā whāinga āhuarangi."
Hei whakamutunga, e whakapono ana rātou kei roto rātou i tētahi whakataetae ki te hanga i tētahi "atua matihiko" – nō
reira, ki a rātou, he nui rawa atu te mōrearea o te kore e hanga wawe i te mōrearea o te hanga rawa atu.
Ko te take i hurihia ai e te hunga whai mana te huarahi kia wehe atu i ngā pūngao kē, koia nei:
Ehara i te mea e ranea ana te pūngao kākāriki mō te whakawhānuitanga o tētahi
whatunga matihiko ā-ao me te mātauranga hangarua.
Me whakarāpopoto anō:
1. Mai i te tīmatanga, i mataku ngā tāngata i te whakatūpato āhuarangi CO2 kotahi-taha.
Ngā kamupene PR e māngai ana i ngā kaiwhakawhiti kōrero ā-pakihi whai rawa, pērā i a Al Gore, e whakatairanga ana
i ngā toa rongonui i ngā pāpāho, pērā i a Greta Thunberg.
Ko te nekehanga āhuarangi he waha mō te iwi i roto i te ao tōrangapū.
2. Kei te whakamana ngā ture ngā kai-tōrangapū hei whakaiti i ngā tukunga CO2 i te tere tino tere, ā, e waihanga
ana i tētahi mākete nui mō ngā hangarau kākāriki ā-ture.
Ko ngā toa: ngā kamupene nunui rawa kua whakangao, ā, i runga noa iho i te tūpono, i ngā
piriona ki ēnei hangarau tonu i mua rawa atu.
He toa rua rātou: ka whiwhi moni rātou mā ā rātou hua, ā, ka whiwhi hoki rātou i ngā pūtea āwhina nō ngā tahua tāke.
3. Ka mārama te āhua o te toitūtanga whakapae a ngā kaitākaro nui rawa atu ina tae mai ki ā rātou
kaupapa tino pai, pērā i te mātauranga atamai hangarua.
I reira, kāore he take kei te piki haere, kāore e taea te ine, te hiahia pūngao me ngā tukunga CO2 e kōrerotia nuitia ana.
Me wareware tātou ki ērā atu kino taiao i puta mai i te whakakore whenua, i te parahanga o ngā awa
me te oneone e ngā maina onepu uaua, me ērā atu.
He tika ngā tikanga katoa e hiahiatia ana kia kaua e whakararuraru i te huringa matihiko.
Ngā kotahitanga āhuarangi? Mō te wā anake ka whai hua ai ki ngā painga o ngā ngārara pūtea.
4. Nō reira, e mārama ana kāore ngā porowhita tino whai pānga i tino aro ki te tiaki taiao.
Ko te whāinga o te pūnaha pūtea matihiko he waihanga i tētahi 'atua matihiko'.
Kei te whakararuraru ngā tāngata e ētahi take taha, pērā i te pātai mēnā he pai ake te hiko nukleara, ngā hinu
kōhauhau, ngā pūngao whakahou rānei hei tiaki i te āhuarangi.
Heoi, kei te whakakore noa i ngā kaiwhakamahi matua o ngā rauemi kāore e kī i roto i te wero.
Ko tā mātou whakatau: Kāore te "nekehanga āhuarangi" e anga ki hea, ā, kei te whakamahia hē e ngā kaitōrangapū
me ngā rōpū pūtea nui rawa atu mō ā rātou ake painga.
Ka arotahi te iwi ki ngā tino hara kei muri i te whakamahinga nui rawa atu o te Ao, ka noho tēnei
hei hikoinga whakatau mō te tiaki taiao tūturu.
Kia kore ai koe e whakamahia anō, tēnā, rapua ngā mōhiohio katoa me te kore here!