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Lehlabula la 2025 le ne le e-so qale, empa mecha
ea litaba e ne e se e ntse e lemosa ka maqhubu a

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mocheso, komello, mello ea meru le khaello ea metsi.

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Lebaka la sena ke phetoho ea tlelaemete e bakoang
ke batho, e bakiloeng ke mesi e feteletseng ea CO2.

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Nnete ke efe ka morao ho lihlooho tsa litaba tse kang tsena?

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Tlhahisong e qaqileng, setsebi sa tlelaemete le mophuputsi oa
eona, Prof. Werner Kirstein, o bua ka lintlha tse ka sehloohong

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tse tšehetsang maikutlo a hore phetoho ea
tlelaemete e bakiloe ke batho, 'me o supa lintlha tse

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hanyetsang maikutlo ao hangata li hlokomolohuoang.

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Ka tlase ke kakaretso e khuts'oane ea lintlha tse
ling tsa bohlokoa tse tsoang puong ea hae ea AZK e

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nang le sehlooho se reng "Politogenic Climate Change".

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1. Mocheso o e-s'o ka o e-ba teng?
Mokokotlo o qhekellang oa thupa ea hockey!

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Jwale ke tla le bontsha tlelaemete, diphetoho
tsa tlelaemete dilemong tse 11,000 tse fetileng.

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U ka bona mona ka lehlakoreng le ka ho le letshehadi hore dilemo
tse 10,000 kapa 11,000 tse fetileng, nako ya ho qetela e kgolo

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ya serame, e tsejwang hape e le Mehla ya Leqhwa, e ile ya fela

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Ho ile ha futhumala, eaba ho bata hape,
eaba ho futhumala, eaba ho bata hape.

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Kahoo esale e nyoloha le ho theoha tjena nako e telele.

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Mme yaba re ba le nako e nngwe ya leqhoa e nyane,
lekgolong la bo17/18 la dilemo, ha ho ne ho phola hape, empa

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eseng haholo jwalo ka nakong ya mehla e meholo ya leqhoa.

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Mme kamora moo, re sa tswa tswa nakong ena e nyane ya leqhoa.

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Sena se bolela hore ha re tsoa mehleng e meholo kapa e
menyenyane ea leqhoa, ho tlameha ka tlhaho hore ho futhumale.

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Ke utloile kgang: "E, empa ho se ho futhumetse!"

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– E, ka kopo, ho futhumetse ka tlhaho.

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Mme kajeno re fihlile qetellong-tellong.

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Mme saense ya tlelaemete e re bontsha eng? Mola o ka tlase.

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Mohlomong kaofela ha lona le ile la hlokomela mokgobo wa hockey
stick oo Monghadi Mann a neng a o phatlaladitse ka nako eo.

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E, propaganda e molemo, e ne e le feela propaganda.

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Mme o a bona, ba ile ba boloka tlelaemete e sa
fetoha ho tloha ka selemo sa 1000 ho ya pele, 1200,

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1400, 1600, jwalo-jwalo, ha e a ka ya fetoha haholo.

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E, o ka bona kgutlo ka boyona ka hodimo.

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Kahoo re khelosoa tseleng, ha re ka rialo.

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2. Mehlala ea tlelaemete e hanyetsana le 'nete

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Nka rata ho qotsa Prof. Hans von Storch hape, ea
tšehetsang phetoho ea tlelaemete le ho e khothaletsa:

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" 'Re tobane le sephiri' – 2013, eo e ne e le
lilemo tse seng kae tse fetileng joale –

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'lithempereichara ha li eketsehile ka lilemo tse 15.

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Ee

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Haeba ho futhumala ha lefatshe ho ne ho ka kgaotsa ka
dilemo tse ding tse hlano, ho ne ho tla ba le phoso

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ya motheo mefuteng mme bolepedi bo ne bo tla lokiswa.

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Mokokotlo oa boraro oa Mauna Loa:

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Na CO2 ke sesosa sa ho phahama ha mocheso?

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Phoso ea motheo ke hore mehlala ea
tlelaemete e lula e nka hore ke CO2.

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CO2 e ikarabella bakeng sa ho futhumala ha lefatshe.

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Mme ha re sheba mola ona, hanyane ka nqane mona, o ka bona hore
mocheso o hlile o nyolohile dilemong tse 25 tse

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fetileng, jwalo ka tekanyo ya CO2 – mola o
tsebahalang wa Mauna Loa – tseo ka bobedi di eketsehile.

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Mme ke kamoo pale eohle e qalileng
kateng ka bo-1980, ha batho ba ne ba re:

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Ha mocheso o nyoloha, le CO2 e a nyoloha, kapa
ka tsela e fapaneng, jwalo ka ha o ne o batla ho

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bolela: CO2 e nyoloha ebe le mocheso o a nyoloha.

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Leha ho le jwalo, ha re sheba dikarolo tse ka pele le tse
ka morao, re ka bona hore sena ha se sa le nnete ho hang.

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Empa ka kopo, ho thoe'ng ka linako tse pele le kamorao ho seo?

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Mona, pele ho lilemo tsena tse 25 le ka mor'a
lilemo tsena tse 25? Hoo ha se 'nete ho hang.

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Ho fapana le hoo: mekoloko ea arohana.

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Maemo a CO2 a ile a nyoloha, empa
mocheso o ne o theohile nakong tse itseng.

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4. Kamano kapa sesosa? Li-stork li
amana joang le sekhahla sa tsoalo

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Kahoo, seo re lokelang ho se ithuta ho sena ke ntho eo esale ke
e bua lithutong tsohle tsa lipalo-palo tseo ke li fanoeng ho

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litsebi tsa jeokerafi: batho ba heso, kamano ha e bolele sesosa!

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Ke phapang e kgolo haholo!

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Le e tseba kaofela, na ha ho jwalo? Ke
nahana hore e se e tsebahala haholo.

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Ena ke mohlala o mong hape oa kamano e
thetsang. Mohloli: Ofisi ea Lipalopalo ea Federale.

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Ua bona, palo ea li-stork le ts'ebetso ea ho
tsoala Jeremane, ha e le Sweden e ntle le ho feta.

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Nako le nako ha ho ne ho e-na le makgwaba a mangata mona
(e leng mola o moputswa), palo ya matswalo e ne e eketseha.

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Mme nako le nako ha palo ya dikhokho e ne e fokotseha hape
ka mabaka a tikoloho, sekgahla sa tswalo se ne se theoha.

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Kahoo bohle ba tlameha ho fihlela qeto ea
hore ena ke kamano ea sesosa le sephetho.

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Ee, ke 'nete!

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Kamano e ts'oanang e phahameng ea bohata e ka
fumanoa hape lipakeng tsa sekhahla sa tlhalo

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naheng ea US ea Maine le tšebeliso ea maragarine.

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Ka kopo, ho joalo feela!

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U ka e batla inthaneteng, ke 'nete!

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Ka mantsoe a mang, ha ho ja
margarine e ngata, liqhekano lia eketseha.

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Ba eme moo, ba tsielehile.

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Ke na le e nngwe e ntle, e thabileng,
empa e ntse e shebahala e hloname hanyane.

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Palo ea mafu har'a batho ba sebelisang litulo tsa
likooa e tsamaellana haholo le theko ea lichipisi.

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Ke bua sena e le ho tšoenya bo-ramahlale-'moho le 'na ba fisiksi.

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Kahoo haeba u batla ho fetola likamano
tse joalo tsa bohata hore e be 'nete mona.

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5. CO2 e thusa limela

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Kahoo, ho imena habeli ha
khatello ea CO2 esale e le taba e kholo.

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Ho tla etsahala'ng ha tekanyo ea CO2
sepakapakeng sa rona e imenne habeli?

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Kahoo re na le matlo a temo, matlo a 'nete a temo. Sena,
mohlala, ke serapa sa temo moo litholoana kapa meroho li melang.

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Le nna ke kile ka ea Iceland. Ke bone lik'hontheina
tsena tse kholo kantle ho monyako li ngotsoe CO2.

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Kea ipotsa hore na hona joale ba etsang ka CO2 mona?

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Ba ile ba re, "Re tla sebedisa sena bakeng sa ho
nonotsha; ha re ntse re pompa CO2 e ngata ka hara ntlo ena ya

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dimela e futhumetseng, dimela di tla hola hantle le ho feta."

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Ho se ho le tsebahala ka nako e telele hore CO2 ke
monontša o babatsehang bakeng sa limela tse itseng.

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6. Leqhoa le leholo – la maiketsetso!

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Kaha re le mona Lithabeng tsa Alps, moeling oa
Lithaba tsa Alps, ha re ka rialo, nka rata ho

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khutlela tabeng ea liqhwa tsa Lithaba tsa Alps.

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Ho dula ho thwe makgwedi a arola, a hore a a thella morao.

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Ha o ka shebisisa, ke nnete – leha e le
feela ka nako e itseng, bakeng sa nako e itseng.

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Mme ha o ka latela Moprofesa Gernot Patzelt wa Univesithi ya
Innsbruck le ditlhaloso tsa hae, o fumane bopaki ba hore makgwedi

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ana a leqhwa a dula a ntse a atela pele mme a hula morao. […]

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Ka bokhutšoanyane: Lilemong tse 11,000 tse fetileng, makhoabo a
leqhoa a ne a le manyenyane ho feta kajeno ka

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karolo ea bobeli ho tse tharo ea nako eo, e
leng se bontšang maemo a leholimo a futhumetseng.

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Kahoo ho ne ho futhumetse pele,
mme hape ho ne ho se ho bata hape.

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Mme ho ne ho futhumetse hape, mme ho ne ho bata hape.

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Ke lona lebaka la motsamao o sa tloaelehang oa makhoabo a leqhoa.

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Kahoo ha e le hantle ke ketsahalo e
tsebahalang, empa ha e phatlalatsoe.

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O fumane seo.

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Ho a makatsa, o ile a hlahloba lifate libakeng
tseo leqhoa le se le qetetse ho qothola ho

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tsona, a senola lifate tsa khale tse hlahang hape.

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Mme yaba o bona dikota tsa difate tsa kgale di hlaha
ka tlasa makgwedi a leqhwa a neng a theoha ka tlase.

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Ke hore, haeba re etswa hore re dumele hore makgwedi a
leqhwa a dula a honyela mme a ne a tebile ho feta

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nakong e fetileng, jwale difate tsena di tswa kae le kae?

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Ha ke eso bone sefate se hola tlas'a leqhoa!

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Hoo ha ho kgonehe!

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Mme eo ke bopaki ba nnete ba liteko,
bo hole haholo le khopolo efe kapa efe.

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Empa jwalo ka ha ke boletse, ha re na ho fumana.

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7. Dibere tsa polar bakeng sa PR ya tlelaemete?

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Ho na le lintlha tse ngata tsa tlelaemete. Nka
khetha tse seng kae ho le bontša seo re se bolelloang

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le kamoo mecha ea litaba e potlakelang ho se nka.

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Bera e tšoeu ea leboea esale e le letšoao la
baitseki ba tsa tlelaemete, 'me mona re bona – ho ngotsoe ka

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letsohong le letona – hore setšoantšo ke sa bohata.

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Na ho na le motho ea hlokometseng
hore ho na le ntho e kentsoeng mona?

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Kahoo bere ena e leqeleng ea leqhoa ha e kotsing ea ho fela, empa
ke ka lebaka leo ba e behileng holim'a selaete sa leqhoa

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joalo. Ha e nkuoa ka k'hamera, e lokela ho shebahala tjena:
E, sebaka sa ka sa bolulo se ntse se nyamela hona joale. […]

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Ha e le hantle, palo ea libere tsa leqhoa Alaska le Amerika
Leboea e nyolohile ho tloha hoo e ka bang 5,000

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– e leng palo e neng e le tlase ka ho fetisisa
– ho ea ho 25,000 lilemong tse 40 tse fetileng.

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Kahoo palo ea dibera tsa leboea e
ntse e eketseha, eseng ho fokotseha!

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E, mme ke hobaneng? Hobane ho
tsoma dibere tsa polar ho thibetsoe.

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Phello ea sena e bile hore leha ho tsoma dibere tsa polar
joale ho thibetsoe, ho ntse ho na le ba tsoelang pele ho etsa

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joalo, empa palo ea dibere tsa polar e se e ntse e eketseha.

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Seo se bolela hore phokotseho ena ea palo ea dibera
tsa polar e ne e bakiloe feela ke ho thunngoa. […]

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Ka tsela, dibere tsa polar di bile teng ka dilemo tse 600,000.

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Kahoo, lilemo tse 600,000 li bolela hore
dibere tsena tsa dipola di phetse mehleng yohle ya

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leqhoa, mehleng ya mofuthu, leqhoa le mofuthu.

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Ba pholohile tsohle tseo, ha ho a
ka ha ba utloisa bohloko ho hang.

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8. Lihlekehleke tse tebang

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Taba e 'ngoe hape mona: ho phahama ha
boemo ba leoatle Mawatleng a Boroa.

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Lihlekehleke tsa Caroline, ke 'nete
hore tse ling tsa tsona li a nyamela.

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Boemo ba leoatle bo nyoloha ka potlako hoo libaka tse ling li
seng li qala ho koetsoa ke metsi, 'me batho baa llela: "Phetoho

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ea tlelaemete e etsa hore lihlekehleke tsa rona li nyamele."

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Ee, ho etsahetse'ng kannete?

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Ke ile ka e bona ka tšohanyetso ho ZDF, ke ile
ka e iponela ka Hlakubele 2009 – ho bonahala eka

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boemo ba leoatle Micronesia bo ntse bo phahama.

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Ha e le hantle, leha ho le jwalo, ho na le metsamao e
tsamayang bolelele le e nyolohang ho ya hodimo pakeng tsa

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Ditjhaba tse nyane tsa Caroline le Letlapa le leholo la Pacific.

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Ha o sheba mmapa ona, mmapa ona wa tectonic
wa Lefatshe, o ka bona hore o na le dipoleiti

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tse ngata, dipoleiti tse kgolo le tse nyane.

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Jwale ho na le mapolanka a tsamayang ka
bolelele kapa ka ho otloloha, kapa a thella

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ka tlasa a mang, a sutumetsa ka tlasa ona.

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Mme seo ZDF e neng e lokela ho se tseba ke hore ho na le
dipoleiti, hona mona sebakeng sa Ditjhaba tsa Caroline, tse

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ntseng di teba ka lebaka la ho sisinyeha ha
lefatshe, mme ha ke eme hodima poleiti e tebang,

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ho bonahala eka boemo ba lewatle bo a nyoloha.

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Ha o ka beha motho moo (a supa 'mapeng) – moahi oa Letlapa la
Caroline – 'me o mo beha moo a eme holim'a letlapa

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le nōkang, a phahamisitse matsoho a hae a re, "Ka
lebaka la Molimo, boemo ba leoatle bo a nyoloha!"

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Ka tsela ena re a thetswa.

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Mme ntho e tshwanang – ha ke sa hloka ho e pheta hona
jwale – e sebetsa le ho Ditjhaba tsa Fiji, ka tsela.

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Kopanong ea tlelaemete e ntseng e tsoela pele Bonn hona joale –
ho ne ho e-na le motho le ea tsoang Lihlekehlekeng tsa

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Fiji moo – ea itseng: "Boemo ba leoatle bo tla nyoloha ka
nako e 'ngoe, 'me ka nako eo re tla be re se re le sieo."

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E, ho tshwana hantle-ntle leqepheng
la Australia le leqepheng la Pacific.

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Nka re hore Ditjhaba tsa Fiji di ka nwaheloa ke
metsi – kahoo monna o nepile – haeba letlapa la

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lefatshe la sebakeng seo le tswela pele ho teba.

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Mme e seng hore ha ho futhumala ha lefatshe
kapa ho futhumala ha moya o potileng lefatshe

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ho eketsa, empa letlapa le ka teba le ho feta.

152
00:12:44,891 --> 00:12:50,000
Mme dinaha tse ntseng di hola jwale di se di
utlwisisa kamoo di ka ruang molemo phetohong ya tlelaemete.

153
00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:54,378
Ba re: Naha tsa indasteri, ke lona le
ikarabellang bakeng sa ho phahama ho hoholo ha maemo a CO2.

154
00:12:54,378 --> 00:13:01,255
Mme re etsang dinaheng tse tswetseng pele ka
diindaseteri? Re lefa dinaha tsena matšeliso!

155
00:13:01,255 --> 00:13:02,857
Na o ntse o ka utlwisisa seo?

156
00:13:02,857 --> 00:13:04,036
Qetello

157
00:13:04,036 --> 00:13:10,061
Bakeng sa maikutlo a ka a ho qetela, ke kgethile Sonja Margolina.

158
00:13:10,061 --> 00:13:14,076
Kaha ha se setsebi lekaleng lena, o re:

159
00:13:14,076 --> 00:13:19,584
Phetolo ea tlelaemete ke poleloana e nang le maikutlo a tebileng
a ideoloji e phahamisitseng toro e

160
00:13:19,584 --> 00:13:25,420
phethahetseng ea "ho pholosa tlelaemete" ho ba sepheo sa
ketso ea lipolotiki le tlhokahalo ea boitšoaro.

161
00:13:25,420 --> 00:13:31,815
Ha ho a lokela ho hlokomolohuoa hore mokhoa ona oa ho nahana o
amana le lithahasello tse totobetseng tsa

162
00:13:31,815 --> 00:13:37,888
bafani ba bangata ba molemo ho tsoa lipolotiking,
sechabeng sa baahi le indastering ea tikoloho.

163
00:13:37,888 --> 00:13:43,251
Kahoo, ehlile, le mona ho na le baithati ba
phaello, ke ka lebaka leo taba ena kaofela e etsahalang.

164
00:13:43,251 --> 00:13:47,800
Ho ya ka Moprofesa Kirstein, phetoho ya
tlelaemete e phatlaladitsweng ka lebaka la

165
00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:51,055
CO2 ka hona ha se ya saense ebile ha e nnete.

166
00:13:51,055 --> 00:13:57,300
Ke mohopolo oa maano a maikutlo o etsang hore batho ba ikutloe ba
le molato e le hore ba fane ka chelete e

167
00:13:57,300 --> 00:14:03,060
hlokahalang bakeng sa seo ho thoeng ke "merero
ea ho sireletsa tlelaemete" le makhetho a CO2.

168
00:14:03,060 --> 00:14:06,604
Ha ho motho ea ka belaellang hore
liketsahalo tsa boemo ba leholimo bo feteletseng

169
00:14:06,604 --> 00:14:08,260
le tsenyo ea tikoloho li ntse li etsahala.

170
00:14:08,260 --> 00:14:12,629
Leha ho le jwalo, mecha ya phatlalatso e
ntse e thotse mabapi le mabaka a ka bang teng.

171
00:14:12,629 --> 00:14:19,210
Kla.TV e tlalehile ka mahlale a ka bang le tšusumetso e
kholo boemong ba leholimo mananeong a mangata a eona.

172
00:14:19,210 --> 00:14:21,632
Re tla totobatsa tse ling tsa tsona ka tlase.

173
00:14:21,632 --> 00:14:27,665
Thusa ho phatlalatsa lentswe ka Kla.TV e le karabelo
kgahlanong le mecha ya phatlalatso e tlwaelehileng.

174
00:14:27,665 --> 00:14:31,820
Sena se fa batho monyetla oa ho iketsetsa maikutlo a bona.