WEBVTT 00:01.145 --> 00:07.835 Lehlabula la 2025 le ne le e-so qale, empa mecha ea litaba e ne e se e ntse e lemosa ka maqhubu a 00:07.835 --> 00:11.427 mocheso, komello, mello ea meru le khaello ea metsi. 00:11.427 --> 00:16.484 Lebaka la sena ke phetoho ea tlelaemete e bakoang ke batho, e bakiloeng ke mesi e feteletseng ea CO2. 00:16.484 --> 00:19.248 Nnete ke efe ka morao ho lihlooho tsa litaba tse kang tsena? 00:19.248 --> 00:25.485 Tlhahisong e qaqileng, setsebi sa tlelaemete le mophuputsi oa eona, Prof. Werner Kirstein, o bua ka lintlha tse ka sehloohong 00:25.485 --> 00:30.225 tse tšehetsang maikutlo a hore phetoho ea tlelaemete e bakiloe ke batho, 'me o supa lintlha tse 00:30.225 --> 00:33.420 hanyetsang maikutlo ao hangata li hlokomolohuoang. 00:33.420 --> 00:38.852 Ka tlase ke kakaretso e khuts'oane ea lintlha tse ling tsa bohlokoa tse tsoang puong ea hae ea AZK e 00:38.852 --> 00:43.043 nang le sehlooho se reng "Politogenic Climate Change". 00:43.043 --> 00:48.393 1. Mocheso o e-s'o ka o e-ba teng? Mokokotlo o qhekellang oa thupa ea hockey! 00:48.393 --> 00:56.356 Jwale ke tla le bontsha tlelaemete, diphetoho tsa tlelaemete dilemong tse 11,000 tse fetileng. 00:56.356 --> 01:02.708 U ka bona mona ka lehlakoreng le ka ho le letshehadi hore dilemo tse 10,000 kapa 11,000 tse fetileng, nako ya ho qetela e kgolo 01:02.708 --> 01:05.984 ya serame, e tsejwang hape e le Mehla ya Leqhwa, e ile ya fela 01:05.984 --> 01:10.560 Ho ile ha futhumala, eaba ho bata hape, eaba ho futhumala, eaba ho bata hape. 01:10.560 --> 01:13.440 Kahoo esale e nyoloha le ho theoha tjena nako e telele. 01:13.440 --> 01:21.740 Mme yaba re ba le nako e nngwe ya leqhoa e nyane, lekgolong la bo17/18 la dilemo, ha ho ne ho phola hape, empa 01:21.740 --> 01:26.454 eseng haholo jwalo ka nakong ya mehla e meholo ya leqhoa. 01:26.454 --> 01:30.819 Mme kamora moo, re sa tswa tswa nakong ena e nyane ya leqhoa. 01:30.819 --> 01:38.381 Sena se bolela hore ha re tsoa mehleng e meholo kapa e menyenyane ea leqhoa, ho tlameha ka tlhaho hore ho futhumale. 01:38.381 --> 01:41.133 Ke utloile kgang: "E, empa ho se ho futhumetse!" 01:41.133 --> 01:43.383 – E, ka kopo, ho futhumetse ka tlhaho. 01:43.383 --> 01:46.614 Mme kajeno re fihlile qetellong-tellong. 01:46.614 --> 01:51.740 Mme saense ya tlelaemete e re bontsha eng? Mola o ka tlase. 01:51.740 --> 01:57.855 Mohlomong kaofela ha lona le ile la hlokomela mokgobo wa hockey stick oo Monghadi Mann a neng a o phatlaladitse ka nako eo. 01:57.855 --> 02:01.208 E, propaganda e molemo, e ne e le feela propaganda. 02:01.208 --> 02:10.029 Mme o a bona, ba ile ba boloka tlelaemete e sa fetoha ho tloha ka selemo sa 1000 ho ya pele, 1200, 02:10.029 --> 02:15.100 1400, 1600, jwalo-jwalo, ha e a ka ya fetoha haholo. 02:15.100 --> 02:18.960 E, o ka bona kgutlo ka boyona ka hodimo. 02:18.960 --> 02:22.897 Kahoo re khelosoa tseleng, ha re ka rialo. 02:22.897 --> 02:27.691 2. Mehlala ea tlelaemete e hanyetsana le 'nete 02:27.691 --> 02:34.175 Nka rata ho qotsa Prof. Hans von Storch hape, ea tšehetsang phetoho ea tlelaemete le ho e khothaletsa: 02:34.175 --> 02:47.357 " 'Re tobane le sephiri' – 2013, eo e ne e le lilemo tse seng kae tse fetileng joale – 02:47.357 --> 02:57.628 'lithempereichara ha li eketsehile ka lilemo tse 15. 02:57.628 --> 02:59.042 Ee 02:59.042 --> 03:07.028 Haeba ho futhumala ha lefatshe ho ne ho ka kgaotsa ka dilemo tse ding tse hlano, ho ne ho tla ba le phoso 03:07.028 --> 03:11.101 ya motheo mefuteng mme bolepedi bo ne bo tla lokiswa. 03:11.101 --> 03:13.718 Mokokotlo oa boraro oa Mauna Loa: 03:13.718 --> 03:17.376 Na CO2 ke sesosa sa ho phahama ha mocheso? 03:17.376 --> 03:29.208 Phoso ea motheo ke hore mehlala ea tlelaemete e lula e nka hore ke CO2. 03:29.208 --> 03:32.659 CO2 e ikarabella bakeng sa ho futhumala ha lefatshe. 03:32.659 --> 03:41.188 Mme ha re sheba mola ona, hanyane ka nqane mona, o ka bona hore mocheso o hlile o nyolohile dilemong tse 25 tse 03:41.188 --> 03:49.587 fetileng, jwalo ka tekanyo ya CO2 – mola o tsebahalang wa Mauna Loa – tseo ka bobedi di eketsehile. 03:49.587 --> 03:54.882 Mme ke kamoo pale eohle e qalileng kateng ka bo-1980, ha batho ba ne ba re: 03:54.882 --> 04:01.096 Ha mocheso o nyoloha, le CO2 e a nyoloha, kapa ka tsela e fapaneng, jwalo ka ha o ne o batla ho 04:01.096 --> 04:05.520 bolela: CO2 e nyoloha ebe le mocheso o a nyoloha. 04:05.520 --> 04:11.120 Leha ho le jwalo, ha re sheba dikarolo tse ka pele le tse ka morao, re ka bona hore sena ha se sa le nnete ho hang. 04:11.120 --> 04:14.980 Empa ka kopo, ho thoe'ng ka linako tse pele le kamorao ho seo? 04:14.980 --> 04:18.756 Mona, pele ho lilemo tsena tse 25 le ka mor'a lilemo tsena tse 25? Hoo ha se 'nete ho hang. 04:18.756 --> 04:21.568 Ho fapana le hoo: mekoloko ea arohana. 04:21.568 --> 04:27.041 Maemo a CO2 a ile a nyoloha, empa mocheso o ne o theohile nakong tse itseng. 04:27.041 --> 04:34.626 4. Kamano kapa sesosa? Li-stork li amana joang le sekhahla sa tsoalo 04:34.626 --> 04:40.094 Kahoo, seo re lokelang ho se ithuta ho sena ke ntho eo esale ke e bua lithutong tsohle tsa lipalo-palo tseo ke li fanoeng ho 04:40.094 --> 04:45.020 litsebi tsa jeokerafi: batho ba heso, kamano ha e bolele sesosa! 04:45.020 --> 04:47.832 Ke phapang e kgolo haholo! 04:52.800 --> 04:57.279 Le e tseba kaofela, na ha ho jwalo? Ke nahana hore e se e tsebahala haholo. 04:57.279 --> 05:01.117 Ena ke mohlala o mong hape oa kamano e thetsang. Mohloli: Ofisi ea Lipalopalo ea Federale. 05:01.117 --> 05:06.396 Ua bona, palo ea li-stork le ts'ebetso ea ho tsoala Jeremane, ha e le Sweden e ntle le ho feta. 05:06.396 --> 05:17.860 Nako le nako ha ho ne ho e-na le makgwaba a mangata mona (e leng mola o moputswa), palo ya matswalo e ne e eketseha. 05:17.860 --> 05:24.172 Mme nako le nako ha palo ya dikhokho e ne e fokotseha hape ka mabaka a tikoloho, sekgahla sa tswalo se ne se theoha. 05:24.172 --> 05:28.226 Kahoo bohle ba tlameha ho fihlela qeto ea hore ena ke kamano ea sesosa le sephetho. 05:28.226 --> 05:29.900 Ee, ke 'nete! 05:29.900 --> 05:35.441 Kamano e ts'oanang e phahameng ea bohata e ka fumanoa hape lipakeng tsa sekhahla sa tlhalo 05:35.441 --> 05:41.040 naheng ea US ea Maine le tšebeliso ea maragarine. 05:41.040 --> 05:42.420 Ka kopo, ho joalo feela! 05:42.420 --> 05:45.300 U ka e batla inthaneteng, ke 'nete! 05:45.300 --> 05:51.180 Ka mantsoe a mang, ha ho ja margarine e ngata, liqhekano lia eketseha. 05:52.695 --> 05:55.570 Ba eme moo, ba tsielehile. 05:55.570 --> 06:00.377 Ke na le e nngwe e ntle, e thabileng, empa e ntse e shebahala e hloname hanyane. 06:00.377 --> 06:07.720 Palo ea mafu har'a batho ba sebelisang litulo tsa likooa e tsamaellana haholo le theko ea lichipisi. 06:10.112 --> 06:14.900 Ke bua sena e le ho tšoenya bo-ramahlale-'moho le 'na ba fisiksi. 06:14.900 --> 06:20.062 Kahoo haeba u batla ho fetola likamano tse joalo tsa bohata hore e be 'nete mona. 06:20.062 --> 06:23.200 5. CO2 e thusa limela 06:23.200 --> 06:27.800 Kahoo, ho imena habeli ha khatello ea CO2 esale e le taba e kholo. 06:27.800 --> 06:33.791 Ho tla etsahala'ng ha tekanyo ea CO2 sepakapakeng sa rona e imenne habeli? 06:33.791 --> 06:45.301 Kahoo re na le matlo a temo, matlo a 'nete a temo. Sena, mohlala, ke serapa sa temo moo litholoana kapa meroho li melang. 06:45.301 --> 06:55.980 Le nna ke kile ka ea Iceland. Ke bone lik'hontheina tsena tse kholo kantle ho monyako li ngotsoe CO2. 06:55.980 --> 06:58.321 Kea ipotsa hore na hona joale ba etsang ka CO2 mona? 06:58.321 --> 07:03.603 Ba ile ba re, "Re tla sebedisa sena bakeng sa ho nonotsha; ha re ntse re pompa CO2 e ngata ka hara ntlo ena ya 07:03.603 --> 07:06.605 dimela e futhumetseng, dimela di tla hola hantle le ho feta." 07:06.605 --> 07:11.712 Ho se ho le tsebahala ka nako e telele hore CO2 ke monontša o babatsehang bakeng sa limela tse itseng. 07:11.712 --> 07:15.440 6. Leqhoa le leholo – la maiketsetso! 07:15.440 --> 07:18.726 Kaha re le mona Lithabeng tsa Alps, moeling oa Lithaba tsa Alps, ha re ka rialo, nka rata ho 07:18.726 --> 07:21.060 khutlela tabeng ea liqhwa tsa Lithaba tsa Alps. 07:21.060 --> 07:27.018 Ho dula ho thwe makgwedi a arola, a hore a a thella morao. 07:27.018 --> 07:34.700 Ha o ka shebisisa, ke nnete – leha e le feela ka nako e itseng, bakeng sa nako e itseng. 07:34.700 --> 07:42.206 Mme ha o ka latela Moprofesa Gernot Patzelt wa Univesithi ya Innsbruck le ditlhaloso tsa hae, o fumane bopaki ba hore makgwedi 07:42.206 --> 07:46.520 ana a leqhwa a dula a ntse a atela pele mme a hula morao. […] 07:46.520 --> 07:53.355 Ka bokhutšoanyane: Lilemong tse 11,000 tse fetileng, makhoabo a leqhoa a ne a le manyenyane ho feta kajeno ka 07:53.355 --> 07:59.327 karolo ea bobeli ho tse tharo ea nako eo, e leng se bontšang maemo a leholimo a futhumetseng. 07:59.327 --> 08:02.774 Kahoo ho ne ho futhumetse pele, mme hape ho ne ho se ho bata hape. 08:02.774 --> 08:05.780 Mme ho ne ho futhumetse hape, mme ho ne ho bata hape. 08:05.780 --> 08:11.560 Ke lona lebaka la motsamao o sa tloaelehang oa makhoabo a leqhoa. 08:11.560 --> 08:16.740 Kahoo ha e le hantle ke ketsahalo e tsebahalang, empa ha e phatlalatsoe. 08:16.740 --> 08:17.925 O fumane seo. 08:17.925 --> 08:25.925 Ho a makatsa, o ile a hlahloba lifate libakeng tseo leqhoa le se le qetetse ho qothola ho 08:25.925 --> 08:30.620 tsona, a senola lifate tsa khale tse hlahang hape. 08:30.620 --> 08:38.218 Mme yaba o bona dikota tsa difate tsa kgale di hlaha ka tlasa makgwedi a leqhwa a neng a theoha ka tlase. 08:38.218 --> 08:44.434 Ke hore, haeba re etswa hore re dumele hore makgwedi a leqhwa a dula a honyela mme a ne a tebile ho feta 08:44.434 --> 08:48.240 nakong e fetileng, jwale difate tsena di tswa kae le kae? 08:48.240 --> 08:51.925 Ha ke eso bone sefate se hola tlas'a leqhoa! 08:51.925 --> 08:53.786 Hoo ha ho kgonehe! 08:53.786 --> 09:00.100 Mme eo ke bopaki ba nnete ba liteko, bo hole haholo le khopolo efe kapa efe. 09:00.100 --> 09:02.380 Empa jwalo ka ha ke boletse, ha re na ho fumana. 09:02.380 --> 09:06.220 7. Dibere tsa polar bakeng sa PR ya tlelaemete? 09:06.220 --> 09:11.940 Ho na le lintlha tse ngata tsa tlelaemete. Nka khetha tse seng kae ho le bontša seo re se bolelloang 09:11.940 --> 09:15.300 le kamoo mecha ea litaba e potlakelang ho se nka. 09:15.300 --> 09:20.438 Bera e tšoeu ea leboea esale e le letšoao la baitseki ba tsa tlelaemete, 'me mona re bona – ho ngotsoe ka 09:20.438 --> 09:23.131 letsohong le letona – hore setšoantšo ke sa bohata. 09:23.131 --> 09:26.160 Na ho na le motho ea hlokometseng hore ho na le ntho e kentsoeng mona? 09:26.160 --> 09:31.803 Kahoo bere ena e leqeleng ea leqhoa ha e kotsing ea ho fela, empa ke ka lebaka leo ba e behileng holim'a selaete sa leqhoa 09:31.803 --> 09:37.320 joalo. Ha e nkuoa ka k'hamera, e lokela ho shebahala tjena: E, sebaka sa ka sa bolulo se ntse se nyamela hona joale. […] 09:37.320 --> 09:43.952 Ha e le hantle, palo ea libere tsa leqhoa Alaska le Amerika Leboea e nyolohile ho tloha hoo e ka bang 5,000 09:43.952 --> 09:49.947 – e leng palo e neng e le tlase ka ho fetisisa – ho ea ho 25,000 lilemong tse 40 tse fetileng. 09:49.947 --> 09:54.580 Kahoo palo ea dibera tsa leboea e ntse e eketseha, eseng ho fokotseha! 09:54.580 --> 10:01.440 E, mme ke hobaneng? Hobane ho tsoma dibere tsa polar ho thibetsoe. 10:01.440 --> 10:06.914 Phello ea sena e bile hore leha ho tsoma dibere tsa polar joale ho thibetsoe, ho ntse ho na le ba tsoelang pele ho etsa 10:06.914 --> 10:09.751 joalo, empa palo ea dibere tsa polar e se e ntse e eketseha. 10:09.751 --> 10:17.745 Seo se bolela hore phokotseho ena ea palo ea dibera tsa polar e ne e bakiloe feela ke ho thunngoa. […] 10:17.745 --> 10:21.162 Ka tsela, dibere tsa polar di bile teng ka dilemo tse 600,000. 10:21.162 --> 10:25.935 Kahoo, lilemo tse 600,000 li bolela hore dibere tsena tsa dipola di phetse mehleng yohle ya 10:25.935 --> 10:28.640 leqhoa, mehleng ya mofuthu, leqhoa le mofuthu. 10:28.640 --> 10:32.924 Ba pholohile tsohle tseo, ha ho a ka ha ba utloisa bohloko ho hang. 10:32.924 --> 10:37.248 8. Lihlekehleke tse tebang 10:37.248 --> 10:40.918 Taba e 'ngoe hape mona: ho phahama ha boemo ba leoatle Mawatleng a Boroa. 10:40.918 --> 10:47.840 Lihlekehleke tsa Caroline, ke 'nete hore tse ling tsa tsona li a nyamela. 10:47.840 --> 10:55.824 Boemo ba leoatle bo nyoloha ka potlako hoo libaka tse ling li seng li qala ho koetsoa ke metsi, 'me batho baa llela: "Phetoho 10:55.824 --> 11:00.550 ea tlelaemete e etsa hore lihlekehleke tsa rona li nyamele." 11:00.550 --> 11:02.460 Ee, ho etsahetse'ng kannete? 11:02.460 --> 11:09.343 Ke ile ka e bona ka tšohanyetso ho ZDF, ke ile ka e iponela ka Hlakubele 2009 – ho bonahala eka 11:09.343 --> 11:14.048 boemo ba leoatle Micronesia bo ntse bo phahama. 11:14.048 --> 11:19.472 Ha e le hantle, leha ho le jwalo, ho na le metsamao e tsamayang bolelele le e nyolohang ho ya hodimo pakeng tsa 11:19.472 --> 11:22.771 Ditjhaba tse nyane tsa Caroline le Letlapa le leholo la Pacific. 11:22.771 --> 11:28.489 Ha o sheba mmapa ona, mmapa ona wa tectonic wa Lefatshe, o ka bona hore o na le dipoleiti 11:28.489 --> 11:31.835 tse ngata, dipoleiti tse kgolo le tse nyane. 11:31.835 --> 11:36.775 Jwale ho na le mapolanka a tsamayang ka bolelele kapa ka ho otloloha, kapa a thella 11:36.775 --> 11:40.065 ka tlasa a mang, a sutumetsa ka tlasa ona. 11:40.065 --> 11:47.433 Mme seo ZDF e neng e lokela ho se tseba ke hore ho na le dipoleiti, hona mona sebakeng sa Ditjhaba tsa Caroline, tse 11:47.433 --> 11:52.813 ntseng di teba ka lebaka la ho sisinyeha ha lefatshe, mme ha ke eme hodima poleiti e tebang, 11:52.813 --> 11:56.260 ho bonahala eka boemo ba lewatle bo a nyoloha. 11:56.260 --> 12:01.136 Ha o ka beha motho moo (a supa 'mapeng) – moahi oa Letlapa la Caroline – 'me o mo beha moo a eme holim'a letlapa 12:01.136 --> 12:06.599 le nōkang, a phahamisitse matsoho a hae a re, "Ka lebaka la Molimo, boemo ba leoatle bo a nyoloha!" 12:06.599 --> 12:09.664 Ka tsela ena re a thetswa. 12:09.664 --> 12:14.927 Mme ntho e tshwanang – ha ke sa hloka ho e pheta hona jwale – e sebetsa le ho Ditjhaba tsa Fiji, ka tsela. 12:14.927 --> 12:19.195 Kopanong ea tlelaemete e ntseng e tsoela pele Bonn hona joale – ho ne ho e-na le motho le ea tsoang Lihlekehlekeng tsa 12:19.195 --> 12:23.476 Fiji moo – ea itseng: "Boemo ba leoatle bo tla nyoloha ka nako e 'ngoe, 'me ka nako eo re tla be re se re le sieo." 12:23.476 --> 12:28.200 E, ho tshwana hantle-ntle leqepheng la Australia le leqepheng la Pacific. 12:28.200 --> 12:34.977 Nka re hore Ditjhaba tsa Fiji di ka nwaheloa ke metsi – kahoo monna o nepile – haeba letlapa la 12:34.977 --> 12:38.760 lefatshe la sebakeng seo le tswela pele ho teba. 12:38.760 --> 12:42.736 Mme e seng hore ha ho futhumala ha lefatshe kapa ho futhumala ha moya o potileng lefatshe 12:42.736 --> 12:44.891 ho eketsa, empa letlapa le ka teba le ho feta. 12:44.891 --> 12:50.000 Mme dinaha tse ntseng di hola jwale di se di utlwisisa kamoo di ka ruang molemo phetohong ya tlelaemete. 12:50.000 --> 12:54.378 Ba re: Naha tsa indasteri, ke lona le ikarabellang bakeng sa ho phahama ho hoholo ha maemo a CO2. 12:54.378 --> 13:01.255 Mme re etsang dinaheng tse tswetseng pele ka diindaseteri? Re lefa dinaha tsena matšeliso! 13:01.255 --> 13:02.857 Na o ntse o ka utlwisisa seo? 13:02.857 --> 13:04.036 Qetello 13:04.036 --> 13:10.061 Bakeng sa maikutlo a ka a ho qetela, ke kgethile Sonja Margolina. 13:10.061 --> 13:14.076 Kaha ha se setsebi lekaleng lena, o re: 13:14.076 --> 13:19.584 Phetolo ea tlelaemete ke poleloana e nang le maikutlo a tebileng a ideoloji e phahamisitseng toro e 13:19.584 --> 13:25.420 phethahetseng ea "ho pholosa tlelaemete" ho ba sepheo sa ketso ea lipolotiki le tlhokahalo ea boitšoaro. 13:25.420 --> 13:31.815 Ha ho a lokela ho hlokomolohuoa hore mokhoa ona oa ho nahana o amana le lithahasello tse totobetseng tsa 13:31.815 --> 13:37.888 bafani ba bangata ba molemo ho tsoa lipolotiking, sechabeng sa baahi le indastering ea tikoloho. 13:37.888 --> 13:43.251 Kahoo, ehlile, le mona ho na le baithati ba phaello, ke ka lebaka leo taba ena kaofela e etsahalang. 13:43.251 --> 13:47.800 Ho ya ka Moprofesa Kirstein, phetoho ya tlelaemete e phatlaladitsweng ka lebaka la 13:47.800 --> 13:51.055 CO2 ka hona ha se ya saense ebile ha e nnete. 13:51.055 --> 13:57.300 Ke mohopolo oa maano a maikutlo o etsang hore batho ba ikutloe ba le molato e le hore ba fane ka chelete e 13:57.300 --> 14:03.060 hlokahalang bakeng sa seo ho thoeng ke "merero ea ho sireletsa tlelaemete" le makhetho a CO2. 14:03.060 --> 14:06.604 Ha ho motho ea ka belaellang hore liketsahalo tsa boemo ba leholimo bo feteletseng 14:06.604 --> 14:08.260 le tsenyo ea tikoloho li ntse li etsahala. 14:08.260 --> 14:12.629 Leha ho le jwalo, mecha ya phatlalatso e ntse e thotse mabapi le mabaka a ka bang teng. 14:12.629 --> 14:19.210 Kla.TV e tlalehile ka mahlale a ka bang le tšusumetso e kholo boemong ba leholimo mananeong a mangata a eona. 14:19.210 --> 14:21.632 Re tla totobatsa tse ling tsa tsona ka tlase. 14:21.632 --> 14:27.665 Thusa ho phatlalatsa lentswe ka Kla.TV e le karabelo kgahlanong le mecha ya phatlalatso e tlwaelehileng. 14:27.665 --> 14:31.820 Sena se fa batho monyetla oa ho iketsetsa maikutlo a bona.