WEBVTT

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Kusho ukuthini umnotho wempi?

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Umnotho wempi usho ukuthi ngesikhathi sempi konke
kuyalalelwa emizamweni yempi, ngakho-ke umnotho unikezwa

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izakhiwo ezihlukile, kusho umnotho waseJalimane uTilman Brück.

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UBrück ungumsunguli nomqondisi weSikhungo Samazwe Ngamazwe
Sokuphepha Nokuthuthukiswa eNyuvesi yaseHumboldt eBerlin.

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Ngamafuphi: umbuso uthatha ukulawula
kanti umnotho ulandela izinhloso zawo.

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Ngokwemibiko yakamuva ezishicilelwa
eziphephandabeni zansuku zonke, i-European Union njengamanje

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ilungiselela ukuguqula imboni ibe umnotho wempi.

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Isinqumo sokuthatha izikweletu eziyizigidigidi
eziyisishiyagalombili zamayuro zokuqala

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embonini yezikhali senziwa ekupheleni kukaMashi 2025.

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Ngaphezu kwalokho, ekuqaleni kukaJuni 2025, iKomishana
ye-EU kwadingeka inikeze cishe ama-€335 billion

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avela emalini yosizo ye-coronavirus ukuze ixhase izikhali.

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I-Switzerland nayo ithintekile yile nqubekela phambili.

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IPhalamende muva nje ivumile ukunyuswa kwesabelomali sezempi
kube izigidigidi ezingama-30 zamafranki aseSwitzerland ngo-2028.

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Nokho, ngisho lokhu kubonakala kude kakhulu
nokwanele kwabanye abamele, kokubili e-EU naseSwitzerland.

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Kungani konke lokhu?

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Ingabe insongo yempi yokuhlasela yaseRussia
iyangempela ngempela – noma kukhona okunye okubekwe engcupheni?

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Noma umnotho wempi uthuthuka kanjani, abakhokhi bentela
nezizukulwane ezizayo kuzodingeka bakhokhe izindleko eziphezulu.

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Lokhu kuthinta kanjani?

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Izidingo eziphezulu zezimali ezingamakhulu
ezigidigidi zama-euro zokuzibeka kabusha izikhali

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ngobuningi ziyanciphisa ukukhula komkhakha ozimele:

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Ukuchitha imali ezingqalasizindeni, emfundweni,
ekuvikelweni kwemvelo, kwezempilo, njll. kuyashiywa kakhulu.

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Lokhu kwenza izinkinga zomphakathi,
zezomnotho nezepolitiki ezweni zibe zimbi kakhulu.

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Ngenxa yokuphikisana nezinkinga kwezombusazwe
nakwezomnotho, ukungathembani emphakathini kuyanda ngokushesha.

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Imizamo yezombusazwe yokugcina izixuku zihlelwa ngokwengqondo
ngezindlela zokupropaganda zikahulumeni kanye

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nemidiya yomphakathi ecindezelwe ngokwezimali ukuze
ihlale isesimweni sempi iya isiba yisihlazo esikhulu.

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Njengoba sekushiwo ngaphambilini,
ukusetshenziswa kwezimali kwezempi okwamanje

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kuyakhuphuka kakhulu kuzo zonke izizwe zaseNtshonalanga.

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Ngaphezu kokusetshenziswa okusha okuhleliwe kwezokuvikela
okungaphezu kuka-€800 billion e-EU, amazwe

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angamalungu e-NATO asanda kunquma ukunyusa ukusetshenziswa
kwabo kwezempi kube ngu-5% womkhiqizo wezwe wonke.

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Kuphela iSpain, iHungary neSlovakia
ezaveze ukungabaza okukhulu ngenhloso engu-5%.

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Ukuchitha kwezokuvikela kwamazwe amaningi
e-NATO kuze kube manje bekungaba cishe

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amaphesenti angu-2 wemikhiqizo yomnotho kazwelonke.

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Uma sithatha iRiphabhulikhi Yezwe LaseJalimane
njengomboniso, lokhu kusho ukunyuka kokusetshenziswa kwezimali

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kwezempi kusuka ku-€90 billion kuya ku-€160 billion ngonyaka.

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Maphakathi neminyaka yama-1990,
izindleko zazifika ku-45 billion euros kuphela.

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Futhi lokhu kwenziwa cishe ngenani labasebenzi nemishini
okuphindwe kabili uma kuqhathaniswa nezinsuku

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zokuphoqelelwa ukuba usebenzele ebuthweni,
ngaphandle kokubamba iqhaza emisebenzini yangaphandle.

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Imali eyengeziwe kakhulu iyatshalwa kubuchwepheshe
bezempi, futhi ukwesaba isitha okucatshangwayo

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kuhlale kuvuswa ukuze kube nesizathu sokuchitha le mali.

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Isithombe esifanayo sasibonakala
ngesikhathi kulungiselelwa izimpi zomhlaba.

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Yini esiyibonayo ngalokhu?

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Njengoba kungabonakala ku-portal ye-inthanethi "produktion.de"
ngaphansi kwe "Focus" kanye ne "Arms Industry",

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izinkampani eziningi zomshini wendabuko zingena kancane
kancane ochungechungeni lwamanani olubucayi kwezokuphepha.

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Ngaphezu kwezinselelo zezepolitiki zomhlaba,
okubaluleke kakhulu yinguquko enkulu

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kwemikhuba yobuchwepheshe elethela amandla amasha.

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Izibonelo ezilandelayo zicashunwe: Ubuhlakani bokwenziwa
bokuhlonza izinhloso, Izinhlelo zokuvikela amadrone ezine-laser

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noma ubuchwepheshe be-microwave, Ukuhlanganiswa kwezinzwa ukuze
kuhlolwe ngesikhathi sangempela enkundleni yempi, Abazalwane

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bedijithali bezimo zokulingisa [Incazelo: Umzalwane
wedijithali uyisithombe esiyinqaba (virtual) sento yangempela

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noma uhlelo olusetshenziselwa ukuhlola izimo ezingaba khona.

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Njengoba kungabonakala, imboni yezokuvikela inikeza
umhlaba wezezimali izinhlobonhlobo zamaphrojekthi azuzisayo.

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Imigqa yokukhiqiza ekhona ivaliwe
futhi iyaguqulwa ukuze ikhiqize izikhali.

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Ukukhuluma nje izibonelo ezimbili phakathi kweziningi, umkhiqizi
wezitimela i-Alstom endaweni yayo eGörlitz eMpumalanga Germany.

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Esikhathini esizayo, izimoto ezivikela ezempi
eziphethwe umnikazi omusha nomhlinzeki wezinhlelo

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zempi yasemhlabeni, i-KNDS , zizokhiqizwa lapho.

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Iqembu le-MV Werften, elaphahlazeka ngo-2022 futhi elalakha
izikebhe zokuvakasha ngaphambilini, manje

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lizokhiqiza izikebhe zempi nezinsiza ezifanele ezindaweni
zalo eWismar, eRostock-Warnemünde naseStralsund.

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Indawo yaseRostock-Warnemünde izodluliselwa
eMabuthweni Ezempi aseJalimane ngama-euro ayizigidi ezingama-87.

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IKomishana YaseYurophu yethule i-European
Defence Industrial Strategy (EDIS) kanye nohlelo

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lokutshalwa kwezimali oluhambisanayo (EDIP) ngo-2024.

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Ikakhulu ngenhloso yokusungula imboni
yezokuvikela eqinile, ezimele futhi ekhuphisanayo e-EU.

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Njengoba kungabonakala ezindaweni
eziningi, lokhu kukhuthaza ukukhiqizwa kwezikhali.

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Kulindeleke ukuthi kuthathwe ezinye izinyathelo kule ndlela.

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Uma amabhizinisi avamile eseshintshiwe ukukhiqiza izikhali,
akunakwenzeka kalula ukubuyela emisebenzini yawo yangaphambilini.

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Le mali enkulu kakhulu okwamanje ehlelwe
ukuguqulwa kwamafektri ahlukahlukene nezikhungo

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zokukhiqiza, ngokwemvelo ayitholakali ukuze kudilizwe.

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Ngoba lokhu ngeke sekube sengozini ethi "inzuzo
yomphakathi ekuvikeleni umphakathi jikelele" .

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Ngakho-ke imali etholwa enteleni
isetshenziswa ukubhubhisa izikhungo zokukhiqiza

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zesikhathi eside zenhlalo yomphakathi nokuhweba.

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Kunalokho, kukhiqizwa izinto ezifanele
kuphela ukubulala nokubhujisa, kodwa

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ezingenamsebenzi wokukhiqiza emphakathini jikelele.

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Itanki, isibonelo, alisizi umphakathi jikelele ekuphileni
kwansuku zonke. Lihlala nje ezindlini zokuhlala zamasosha.

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Ayikwazi ukusetshenziswa ukuthutha iziguli noma
ukuthutha ngethekisi empilweni yansuku zonke.

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Ayisizi lutho, kodwa idinga imali
eningi ukuyikhiqiza nokuyigcina.

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Izinsiza ezisetshenziselwa le nhloso
ziba yinkinga kubantu kwezinye izindawo.

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Okubalulekile kwezomnotho empeleni
ukuthi izimali zitshalwa kanjani.

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Ukutshalwa kwezimali ezintweni
zempi ekugcineni kuwukuchitha imali.

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Ukutshalwa kwezimali ocwaningweni, ngakolunye
uhlangothi, kungaholela empilweni engcono, isibonelo.

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Ukutshalwa kwezimali kwengqalasizinda enhle
kungaletha ukukhula komnotho esifundeni, njll.

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Ngakho-ke siphetha ukuthi emnothweni wempi, abantu
kumele bakhokhe okwengeziwe ngaphandle kokuthola noma

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yiziphi izinzuzo ezengeziwe ezivela emkhakheni wangasese.

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Nakuba izinombolo zabangenamsebenzi zingehla
kakhulu ekuqaleni komnotho wempi, isipiliyoni

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somlando sikhombisa ukuthi inhlalakahle ayikhuli.

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Ngokuphambene nalokho, kuyehla ngenxa yemthwalo
wentela ophezulu odingekayo ukuze kuxhaswe izindleko zempi.

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Njengoba ezikhathini zokulindela impi yezempi, izimali azifakwa
embonini yangasese kodwa zisetshenziswa kakhulu emnothweni

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wezempi, lezi zinsiza azanele empilweni yansuku zonke yabantu.

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Ngisho nezingqondo ezinhle kakhulu, ezifana nososayensi,
ochwepheshe, njll., zisebenza embonini yezikhali, kushiya

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izikhala kwezinye izigaba zabantu abangasebenzi kwezokuvikela.

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Uma kwenzeka impi, abantu nabo
bakhokha ngezimpilo zabo nezemindeni yabo.

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Abanye abantu abangabaza bangase bacabange ukuthi ukubhujiswa
komnotho wokuthula nokunyuka kokungasebenzi

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kwenziwa ngenhloso yokuzuza ukwesekwa
okwengeziwe komnotho wempi esikhathini esizayo.

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Okokuqala, enye indlela yokuthula iyabhujiswa,
bese imboni yezikhali kuthiwa iyona kuphela inketho

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eseleyo yokusindisa nokulondoloza ekunzima komnotho.

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Uma abasebenzi abavamile sebencike
ngokwezomnotho emsebenzini wabo wokukhiqiza izikhali,

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ngokungagwemeki basekela inqubomgomo ekhona.

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Uma ubheka emuva emlandweni, uzobona ukuthi
lezi zintuthuko ngokusobala ziyisigaba

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esithuthukile sokunyuka kohlelo olwaluhlelwe kudala.

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Amaphethini avela ekulungiseleleni impi ahlala efana njalo.

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1. Amasu athuthukiswa ngamaqembu abizwa ngokuthi
"think tanks," achaza izinhloso zempi futhi

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ahlola ngokucophelela izingozi namathuba okuphumelela.

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2. Kwenziwa izingxoxo eziyimfihlo nabalingani abangaba khona
ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nezintshisekelo zabalingani ngabanye.

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Imivuzo elindelekile isatshalaliswa noma
ithembisiwe – njengomdlalo webhodi othi "Risk",

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kodwa manje kubizwa ngokuthi "geopolitiki".

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3. Abasebenzi abajwayelekile bezwe bayalelwa
ukwenza amalungiselelo adingekayo nokulungiselela

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ngokwengqondo izikhulu zempi zisibhekane nesitha.

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4. Ngokusekela amaqembu aphikisayo phakathi kwezitha ezizayo
ngokusebenzisa izinhlangano ezingekho ngaphansi kukahulumeni

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kanye nemisebenzi yabo yezobunhloli, kudalwa
"izizathu nezimbangela" zokungenelela okudingekayo ukuze

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kutholakale "isizathu esingokomoya" kubantu babo.

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5. Abezindaba emazweni abalingani bayalelwa ukuthi
babonise isitha esingaba khona ngendlela engemihle.

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Ngokuvamile, ubugebengu bokuphatha kabi abantu kanye nokungabi
nobuntu kubhekwa njengokuthi, noma kusho

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ukuthi ingozi eseduze kubantu besizwe isaziswa,
kodwa kungachazwa ngokucacile isizinda sangempela.

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Izithombe ezivusa impikiswano nezinkulumo ezinomzwelo
zivusa imizwa yezixuku futhi ngaleyo ndlela ziyazihola.

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6. Uxhaso lwezimali lokuthola izikhali lunikezwa,
futhi izikhuthazo zokubamba iqhaza

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kwezinkampani ezidingekayo zokuhweba zikhuthazwa nguhulumeni.

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7. Ezikoleni, emanyuvesi nasekuphileni kwansuku zonke, kuyacelwa
ukweseka kwesizwe ngenxa yezinzuzo

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zomphakathi, ngenhloso yokugqugquzela isizukulwane
esisha ukuba sinikeze isevisi emabuthweni ezempi.

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8. Uma amasosha eselungele, abantu
sebeqeqeshelwe impi, futhi umnotho usuqinisiwe, konke

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okudingekayo yisizathu esifanele sokuhlasela.

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Ukuhleleka kwamaphuzu 4–8 kungahluka.

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Imivuno ngokuvamile ithatha iminyaka
eminingi, kuye ngosayizi wenzo lempi eluhleliwe.

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Kungani iningi labantu lamukela
umnotho wempi ngaphandle kokuphikisa

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Umthelela wezindaba uyinye yezici ezinqunayo ekulawuleni abantu.

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Noma ubani onegunya lokuhumusha unquma
ukuthi yini eqiniso nokuthi yini engamanga.

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uGustave Le Bon – omunye wabasunguli besayensi yokuziphatha
kwabantu abaningi – wachaza ukuthi iningi

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labantu liyalawulwa kakhulu yimizwa, izifiso
nethemba – hhayi ngengqondo nangokwengqondo.

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Ubonisa ukuthi ngisho nesimangalo esingamanga
kakhulu singafakwa ezixukwini njengempela engaphikeki.

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Lokhu kufezwa ngezindlela ezintathu ezilandelayo: okokuqala,
ngokuphindaphinda okuqhubekayo; okwesibili,

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ngokuqiniswa ngemizwa; okwesithathu,
ngokudluliselwa kwalokho okuzwile ngaphakathi kweqembu.

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Ngalendlela amanga aba yinyaniso ebonakalayo kubantu abaningi.

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Abantu abaningi nabo abazi ukuthi ukuguqulwa kwezomnotho kwaba
yimfuno yempi kunciphisa kangakanani inhlalakahle yomphakathi.

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Ukube bebeyazi lokhu, bekungaba nokumelana okuningi kakhulu.

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Izinguquko kwezepolitiki yomhlaba esizibonayo njengamanje
zazihlelwe kakade ngokubanzi phakathi nenkathi eyadlule.

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Ngemva kokudilika kweSoviet Union, abacebisi bezamasu
zomhlaba baseMelika babona ithuba lokwandisa

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umkhakha wabo wethonya emazweni ase-Eastern Bloc asehlisiwe.

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Lokhu kungenxa yokufeza iphupho elide elalifiswa
ngabathandi bomhlaba wonke nabacebile kwezezimali –

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ukusungula uhulumeni womhlaba wonke oholwa yiMelika.

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UZbigniew Brzezinski wayesebenza
njengomeluleki kaJohn F. Kennedy kusukela ngo-1960.

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Wayengumcebisi omkhulu wezamasu emhlabeni jikelele
futhi engumeluleki wezokuphepha osebenza isikhathi

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eside e-United States nasezinkampanini zamazwe ngamazwe.

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UBrzeziński wachaza izinyathelo ezidingekayo zokwenza lokhu
encwadini yakhe ethi "The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy

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and Its Geostrategic Imperatives", eyashicilelwa ngo-1997.

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Izinqumo eziningi ezithathwe kwezombusazwe zaseNtshonalanga,
ezweni lonke nasemhlabeni jikelele, kusukela ekuqaleni

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kweminyaka yama-1990 zingatholakala encwadini kaBrzeziński.

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Ngo-2015, uGeorge Friedman, umsunguli futhi owayengu-CEO
we-Stratfor, ithangi lokucabanga elizimele lase-US, wamemezela

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ukuthi iminyaka engaphezu kuka-100 inqubomgomo yase-US
yayihloselwe ukuvimbela ubumbano phakathi kweJalimane neRussia

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ngoba yayibeka insongo enkulu kunazo zonke ekubuseni kwe-US.

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Phakathi kwezinye izinto, waphawula indima
ebalulekile edlalwa yiJalimane ekufezeni ngempela le migomo.

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"IJalimane izokwenzani?" – Iphuzu
elibuthakathaka emdlalweni wokubusa umhlaba.

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Njengoba izinto eziningi manje zikhombisa,
ngaphandle kokuthathwa kwezomnotho wempi, 'indawo

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ebuthakathaka' yaseJalimane seyibekwe endaweni efanele.

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Izikhulu zezimali ezihamba phambili emhlabeni
zisebenzisa ithonya lazo ezinkundleni zezindaba

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nasepolitiki ukwandisa amandla azo nokwenza izizwe zithobele.

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Ngakho-ke akuyona ingozi indlela
imiphakathi namazwe athonywa ngayo.

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Kwenzeka ngenxa yezintshisekelo zomphakathi
omncane onethonya osesikhundleni samandla.

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Yiziphi iziphetho ezingaphuma
ekushintsheni okukhulu kuya emnothweni wempi?

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Ushintsho olucacile nolukhulu oluya ku-"umnotho wempi"
emazweni amaningi eYurophu nasemhlabeni wonke luphakamisa

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ngokuqinile ukuthi impi ilungiselelwa noma seyiyiqhutshwa.

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Nokho, lokhu akusho ngempela ukuthi impi isiseduze.

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Kodwa kubonisa ushintsho oluyisisekelo kwisakhiwo
somnotho – kusuka kulandela umthetho wesikhathi

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sokuthula kuya ekubekeni phambili izidingo zempi.

14:14.043 --> 14:19.236
Lolu hlelo lokwabela kabusha izinsiza nemali
luzozwakala njengokuntuleka ezindaweni eziningi zabantu

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bomphakathi futhi luzoholela ekulahlekelweni okukhulu.

14:23.050 --> 14:28.667
Kuseyobonakala ukuthi ngabe empeleni kuzoba nempi
eYurophu noma ukuthi yonke le nkulumo-mpi nokuzibekela

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izikhali kuwumkhuba wokudonsa amehlo owamukelekayo.

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Njengoba kuchazwe kuxwebhu lethu le-NATO
(www.kla.tv/29106), labo abagxile ekubuseni umhlaba wonke

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bahlanganisa izindlela eziningi ngasikhathi sinye.

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Noma ngempini zomzimba noma ngokuphazamiseka, inhloso
ihlala ifana: ukusungula izisekelo zikahulumeni womhlaba

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ophakathi – ukulawula okuphelele nokwengamela okuphelele.

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Ezimpikiswaneni ngenqubomgomo yokuphepha,
unyaka ka-2027 uvame ukukhulunywa ngawo

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njengonyaka okulindeleke ukuthi kuqhamuke impi eYurophu.

15:00.443 --> 15:06.782
Amazwe amaningana e-NATO – isibonelo iJalimane, iPoland neSweden
– akhuluma ngesidingo sokulungela ukuvikela kuze

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kube ngu-2030, njengoba kulindeleke izingxabano
ezinkulu ngaleso sikhathi uma ukwesabisa kungasebenzi.

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Maphakathi nonyaka ka-2024, uNgqongqoshe
Wezokuvikela waseJalimane, uPistorius,

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wathi: "Kumele silungele impi ngo-2029."

15:23.650 --> 15:31.630
Ukushintsha ngokushesha kuya komnotho wempi kanye nokukhuthaza
impi okwengeziwe kubonakala kukhomba ikusasa elimnyama.

15:31.630 --> 15:34.890
Nokho, leli ikusasa alibekwanga itshe.

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Kuncike ezizweni ukuthi zinqume ukuthi yini ezokwenzeka ngempela.

15:39.230 --> 15:43.110
Ngakho-ke umuntu ngamunye angakwenza ukuthini? Ungasho "cha".

15:43.110 --> 15:51.743
Awudingi ukusebenzela izinkampani zezikhali, awudingi ukuvumela
ukuthi ukhuthazwe, awudingi ukuba umuntu ozigqokela iyunifomu.

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Ungakhuphula izwi lakho futhi uphikisane nomnotho wempi.

15:55.563 --> 15:59.208
Ungafundisa abantu ozakho ngalezi zixhumanisi.

15:59.208 --> 16:02.823
Wonke umuntu unokukhetha ukubamba iqhaza noma cha.

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Ngizithandela eKla.TV ngoba umhlaba
unelungelo lokuba nezwi eliphikisayo.

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Joyina ithimba lethu futhi usekele umsebenzi wethu.

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Bhalisa ku: www.kla.tv/mitwirken

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Igazi elifanayo ligeleza kuwe nakimi

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Njengabantwana besilisa nabobaba, simi lapha

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Ukuthula nenkululeko njengokuhle okukhulu
kakhulu, yebo, yilokho esiphila ngakho.

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Akuyona imvelaphi, akuyona uhlanga, akuyona
inkolo, yilokho okuhlukanisa izinhliziyo zethu.

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Inkululeko nokuthula kuyisibono,
womhlaba okufanele ukuphila kuwo.

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Futhi manje ufuna ukusiphoqa lapha, ukuba
sibulalane ngokunonya, kanti empeleni sonke singabafowethu.

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Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

17:30.259 --> 17:32.919
Asisoze singene empini yenu

17:32.919 --> 17:38.501
Asizogqoka izikhali, ngoba azikaze ziholele ekunqobeni.

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Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

17:41.330 --> 17:43.903
Asisoze singene empini yenu

17:43.903 --> 17:51.381
Asizogqoka izikhali, ngoba azikaze ziholele ekunqobeni.

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Kuzoqhubeka isikhathi esingakanani lokhu?

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Ukushukumisela impi, amandla nokubangiriza?

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Ungawuzwa izisulu zikhala ziya ezulwini?

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Ubani ozomisa lobu buhlanya uma kungenathi?

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Noma ubani ovusa ukwesaba, inzondo nentukuthelo
kubantu ungumshisekeli wempi nomuntu onzonda abantu.

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Nguye ohola konke ekubhujisweni futhi enqaba bonke abantu.

18:39.933 --> 18:42.579
Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

18:42.579 --> 18:45.498
Asisoze singene empini yenu

18:45.498 --> 18:51.010
Asizogqoka izikhali, ngoba azikaze ziholele ekunqobeni.

18:51.010 --> 18:53.848
Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

18:53.848 --> 18:56.652
Asizihlanganyeli empini yenu

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Asizogqoka izikhali, ngoba azikaze ziholele ekunqobeni.

19:02.250 --> 19:05.583
Niyawususa abantwana obabathandayo babo! Hlazo
kini, ningabangenqaba, lapho nihola abantu

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abangenacala ekubulaweni futhi nithi kulungile ngokomthetho.

19:07.892 --> 19:16.216
Izizwe zakho ziyahlanganyela ku- akekho ozokunika amandla, igazi
elinamathele ezandleni zakho lizokuhlupha kuze kube usuphila!

19:16.216 --> 19:18.889
Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

19:18.889 --> 19:21.644
Asisoze singene empini yenu

19:21.644 --> 19:27.296
Asizogqoka izikhali, ngoba azikaze ziholele ekunqobeni.

19:27.296 --> 19:30.029
Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

19:30.029 --> 19:38.544
Ungasisebenzisi ngenxa yokuthukuthela kwakho, inzondo egcwele
amandla ifana nembewu, asisiwo izingane zomdayimane wakho!

19:38.544 --> 19:41.261
Sithi: "Hhayi egameni lethu!"

19:41.261 --> 19:50.211
Ungasisebenzisi ngenxa yokugobha kwenu, nizobhekana
nemiphumela ngokwenu, ngoba maduzane nizoba isibheke!